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Supply Response under Risk: Implications for Counter-Cyclical Payments' Production Impact

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  • William Lin
  • Robert Dismukes

Abstract

This study investigates the role of risk in farmers' acreage decisions for major field crops in the North Central region by revisiting an earlier study by Chavas and Holt. The empirical model is forward-looking and reflects better variable measurement. We test the effects of wealth and revenue risk on supply response. Estimated results are also used to examine the production impact of counter-cyclical payments (CCPs). We find that the effects of risk on supply response are not strong. An increase in initial wealth would lead to greater crop acreage, consistent with decreasing absolute risk aversion. The effect of CCPs on production appears to be negligible. Copyright 2007, Oxford University Press.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-9353.2006.00330.x
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Agricultural and Applied Economics Association in its journal Review of Agricultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 29 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 64-86

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Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:29:y:2007:i:1:p:64-86

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Cited by:
  1. Jean-Christophe Bureau, 2012. "Latest U.S. farm bill developments," Working Papers 181378, Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, France.
  2. Lin, William W. & Lucier, Gary, 2008. "Effects of Marketing Loans on U.S. Dry Peas and Lentils: Supply Response and World Trade," Economic Research Report 56454, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  3. Fabienne Femenia & Alexandre Gohin & Alain Carpentier, 2010. "The Decoupling of Farm Programs: Revisiting the Wealth Effect," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(3), pages 836-848.
  4. Haile, Mekbib G. & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Braun, Joachim von, 2013. "Inter-and intra-annual global crop acreage response to prices and price risk," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149695, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  5. Haile, Mekbib G. & Kalkuhl, Matthias & von Braun, Joachim, 2013. "Short-term global crop acreage response to international food prices and implications of volatility," Discussion Papers 145308, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
  6. Pope, Rulon D. & LaFrance, Jeffrey T & Just, Richard E., 2007. "Agricultural Arbitrage and Risk Preferences," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt3tw1m1p0, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
  7. Catherine Hausman, 2012. "Biofuels and Land Use Change: Sugarcane and Soybean Acreage Response in Brazil," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 51(2), pages 163-187, February.
  8. Smith, Rachel K. & Duffy, Patricia A. & Novak, James L. & Wilson, Norbert L.W., 2009. "Supply Response of Crops in the Southeast," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46756, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  9. Boussios, David & Barkley, Andrew P., 2012. "Kansas Grain Supply Response to Economic and Biophysical Factors, 1977-2007," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124385, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  10. Mosheim, Roberto & Blaney, Don & Burdine, Kenny & Maynard, Leigh, 2014. "Livestock Gross Margin-Dairy Insurance: An Assessment of Risk Management and Potential Supply Impacts," Economic Research Report 164606, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  11. Liang, Yan & Miller, J. Corey & Harri, Ardian & Coble, Keith H., 2011. "Crop Supply Response under Risk: Impacts of Emerging Issues on Southeastern U.S. Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(02), May.
  12. Lee, Young-Jae & Kennedy, P. Lynn, 2013. "The Role Of Uncertainty In The Agricultural Output Market In Acreage Allocation Decisions," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142130, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
  13. Burdine, Kenneth H. & Maynard, Leigh J., 2012. "Risk Reduction of LGM-Dairy and its Potential Impact on Production," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124180, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  14. David Ubilava, 2012. "Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean‐to‐Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 29-41, 01.
  15. Bakhshi, Samira & Kerr, William A., 2009. "Is There Supply Distortion In The Green Box? An Acreage Response Approach," Working Papers 51093, Canadian Agricultural Trade Policy Research Network.

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