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Managing asymmetric conflict

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Author Info
J. Paul Dunne
María D.C. García-Alonso
Paul Levine
Ron P. Smith

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Abstract

This paper considers a simple model of asymmetric conflict, between an incumbent, e.g. government or dominant firm, and potential challengers, e.g. guerrillas or entrants. It is not uncommon for challengers to win such conflicts despite their lack of resources. One way they can do this by exploiting a second mover advantage: choosing to attack the incumbent in ways that it had not prepared for, because it was locked in by past investments. To model such asymmetric conflict we use a three stage game. In the first stage the incumbent chooses effort; in the second stage the challengers choose the degree of differentiation from the incumbent and in the third stage each decide whether to attack or defend and collect their payoffs. Although the game is simple, the calculations required from the players are difficult and shed light on the complexities of many conflicts. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpi056
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Oxford Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 58 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 183-208
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Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:58:y:2006:i:2:p:183-208

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  3. Collier, Paul & Hoeffler, Anke, 1998. "On Economic Causes of Civil War," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(4), pages 563-73, October.
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  5. Sandler, Todd & Enders, Walter, 2004. "An economic perspective on transnational terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-316, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bresnahan, Timothy F & Greenstein, Shane, 1999. "Technological Competition and the Structure of the Computer Industry," Journal of Industrial Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 1-40, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Intriligator, Michael D, 1975. "Strategic Considerations in the Richardson Model of Arms Races," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 83(2), pages 339-53, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Rotte, Ralph & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2002. "On the Production of Victory: Empirical Determinants of Battlefield Success in Modern War," IZA Discussion Papers 491, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  9. Grossman, Herschel I, 1991. "A General Equilibrium Model of Insurrections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 912-21, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. J Paul Dunne & Fanny Coulomb, 2008. "Peace, War and International Security: Economic Theories (trial entry)," Developing Quantitative Marxism 0801, University of the West of England, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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