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Exchange Rate Realignments and Realignment Expectations

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  • Stansfield, Ed
  • Sutherland, Alan

Abstract

One view of exchange-rate realignments is that they undermine the credibility of a fixed exchange rate by creating expectations of further realignments. This paper presents an alternative model where the private sector attaches a higher probability to a realignment when there is spare capacity in the economy. The model shows that a realignment can enhance the credibility of the fixed rate by reducing the level of spare capacity. However, it is also shown that, if realignment expectations are formed in this way, a fixed rate system may seriously destabilize the economy. Copyright 1995 by Royal Economic Society.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Oxford Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 47 (1995)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 211-28

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Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:47:y:1995:i:2:p:211-28

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Cited by:
  1. Bernd Kempa & Michael Nelles, 1999. "Misalignments of real exchange rates and the credibility of nominal currency bands," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 135(4), pages 613-628, December.

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