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The Stability of Factor Models of Interest Rates

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Author Info
Francesco Audrino

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Abstract

The daily term structure of interest rates is filtered to reduce the influence of cross-correlations and autocorrelations on its factors. A three-factor model is fitted to the filtered data. We perform statistical tests, finding that factor loadings are unstable through time for daily data. This finding is not due to the presence of outliers nor to the selected number of factors. Such an instability problem can be solved when applying the factor analysis on multivariate scaled residuals, filtered using a nonparametric technique based on functional gradient descent. Copyright 2005, Oxford University Press.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbi019
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Journal of Financial Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 3 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 422-441
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Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:3:y:2005:i:3:p:422-441

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  1. Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwatz, 2008. "Adaptive Forecasting of the EURIBOR Swap Term Structure," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-017, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Chihwa Kao & Lorenzo Trapani & Giovanni Urga, 2007. "Modelling and Testing for Structural Changes in Panel Cointegration Models with Common and Idiosyncratic Stochastic Trend," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 92, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Francesco Audrino & Dominik Colagelo, 2007. "Forecasting Implied Volatility Surfaces," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-42, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-4.


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