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Regime Switching and Bond Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Gourieroux
  • Alain Monfort
  • Fulvio Pegoraro
  • Jean-Paul Renne

Abstract

This article proposes an overview of the usefulness of the regime switching approach for building various kinds of bond pricing models and of the roles played by the regimes in these models. Both default-free and defaultable bonds are considered. The regimes can be used to capture stochastic drifts and/or volatilities, to represent discrete target rates, to incorporate business cycles or crises, to introduce contagion, to reproduce zero lower bound spells, or to evaluate the impact of standard or nonstandard monetary policies. From a technical point of view, we stress the key role of Markov chains, Compound Autoregressive (Car) processes, Regime Switching Car processes and multihorizon Laplace transforms. (JEL: E43, G12)

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Gourieroux & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne, 2014. "Regime Switching and Bond Pricing," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 237-277.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:12:y:2014:i:2:p:237-277.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbt019
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    Cited by:

    1. Chiara Sabelli & Michele Pioppi & Luca Sitzia & Giacomo Bormetti, 2014. "Multi-curve HJM modelling for risk management," Papers 1411.3977, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2015.
    2. Malik, Sheheryar & Meldrum, Andrew, 2016. "Evaluating the robustness of UK term structure decompositions using linear regression methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 85-102.
    3. Haixiang Yao & Xun Li & Zhifeng Hao & Yong Li, 2016. "Dynamic asset–liability management in a Markov market with stochastic cash flows," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(10), pages 1575-1597, October.
    4. Monfort, Alain & Pegoraro, Fulvio & Renne, Jean-Paul & Roussellet, Guillaume, 2017. "Staying at zero with affine processes: An application to term structure modelling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 348-366.
    5. Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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