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Some Evidence on the Continuity of the Growth Process among the G-7 Countries

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Author Info
Ben-David, Dan
Papell, David H

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Abstract

The stability of the growth process, whether growth rates are rising, falling, or constant, is one of the central questions of economic growth theory. We use recently developed techniques for identifying structural change in economic time series, and find evidence of multiple breaks in per capita real GDP of the G7 countries over the past 120 years. Once determined, these breaks are used to delineate time periods. Although there is some evidence of individual periods of slowdowns, the overall tendency appears to be one of increasing steady state growth over the long run. Copyright 2000 by Oxford University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Economic Inquiry.

Volume (Year): 38 (2000)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 320-30
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Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:38:y:2000:i:2:p:320-30

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  1. Cliff L. F. Attfield & Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2006. "Balanced growth and the great ratios: new evidence for the US and UK," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 75, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  2. Cliff L.F. Attfield & Jonathan R.W. Temple, 2003. "Measuring trend output: how useful are the Great Ratios?," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 03/555, Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Jonathan Temple & Cliff Attfield, 2004. "Measuring trend growth: how useful are the great ratios?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 101, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-15.


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