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The Importance of Sectoral and Aggregate Shocks in Business Cycles

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  • Norrbin, Stefan C
  • Schlagenhauf, Don E

Abstract

The theoretical literature on business cycles proposes numerous causes for their occurrence. This paper attempts to measure the relative importance of aggregate, whether real or nominal, and sectoral factors in generating real economic fluctuations, as well as to identify economic variables that are correlated with the various factors. Empirical results indicate that both aggregate and industry-level factors are statistically significant in explaining variations in output, with the aggregate factor being the most important. Some evidence is presented that links the aggregate factor with monetary variables. Copyright 1991 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Norrbin, Stefan C & Schlagenhauf, Don E, 1991. "The Importance of Sectoral and Aggregate Shocks in Business Cycles," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 29(2), pages 317-335, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:29:y:1991:i:2:p:317-35
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghosh, Atish R. & Wolf, Holger C., 1996. "On the mark(s): Optimum currency areas in Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 561-573, October.
    2. Ghassan Dibeh, 2001. "Time Delays and Business Cycles: Hilferding's model revisited," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 329-341.
    3. Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2009(1), pages 19-41.
    4. Kang, Gi Choon & Orazem, Peter F., 2003. "The relative importance of aggregate and disaggregate shocks in Korean business cycles," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 419-434, June.
    5. Naohito Abe, 2004. "The Multi‐Sector Business Cycle Model and Aggregate Shocks: An Empirical Analysis," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 55(1), pages 101-118, March.
    6. Nicolaas Groenewold & A. J. Hagger, 1998. "The Natural Unemployment Rate in Australia since the Seventies," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(224), pages 24-35, March.
    7. Kristina Barauskaite & Anh D. M. Nguyen, 2022. "Intersectoral network‐based channel of aggregate TFP shocks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3897-3910, October.
    8. Atish R. Ghosh & Holger C. Wolf, 1997. "Geographical and Sectoral Shocks in the U.S. Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 6180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. N. Groenewold & A.J. Hagger, 1997. "The US natural rate: A "Lilien" time-series, January 1948 to August 1996," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 97-10, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    10. Roger Williams, 2004. "Monetary policy and unemployment: A disaggregated analysis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 10(3), pages 180-190, October.

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