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The Importance of Sectoral and Aggregate Shocks in Business Cycles

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  • Norrbin, Stefan C
  • Schlagenhauf, Don E

Abstract

The theoretical literature on business cycles proposes numerous causes for their occurrence. This paper attempts to measure the relative importance of aggregate, whether real or nominal, and sectoral factors in generating real economic fluctuations, as well as to identify economic variables that are correlated with the various factors. Empirical results indicate that both aggregate and industry-level factors are statistically significant in explaining variations in output, with the aggregate factor being the most important. Some evidence is presented that links the aggregate factor with monetary variables. Copyright 1991 by Oxford University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Western Economic Association International in its journal Economic Inquiry.

Volume (Year): 29 (1991)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 317-35

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Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:29:y:1991:i:2:p:317-35

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Cited by:
  1. Ghosh, Atish R. & Wolf, Holger C., 1996. "On the mark(s): Optimum currency areas in Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 561-573, October.
  2. Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy : A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22074, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  3. Ghassan Dibeh, 2001. "Time Delays and Business Cycles: Hilferding's model revisited," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 329-341.
  4. Naohito Abe, 2004. "The Multi-Sector Business Cycle Model and Aggregate Shocks: An Empirical Analysis," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 55(1), pages 101-118.
  5. Kang, Gi Choon & Orazem, Peter, 2003. "The Relative Importance of Aggregate and Disaggregate Shocks in Korean Business Cycles," Staff General Research Papers 10351, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  6. Atish R. Ghosh & Holger C. Wolf, 1997. "Geographical and Sectoral Shocks in the U.S. Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 6180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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