Estimating the Fisher Effect and the Stochastic Money Growth Process
AbstractThis paper demonstrates that a change in the stochastic process generating money can alter the relationships between money and inflation, and between inflation and interest rates. The extent to which inflation is forecastable is shown to depend significantly on the extent to which money is forecastable. U.S. data over the 1953-86 period are used to demonstrate that instability in the Fisher effect coincides with changes in the stochastic process generating money. There is significantly stronger Fisher effect during a subsample in which money--and hence inflation--are more predictable. Copyright 1989 by Oxford University Press.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Western Economic Association International in its journal Economic Inquiry.
Volume (Year): 27 (1989)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
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- Kenneth M. Emery, 1990. "Fisher effects and central bank independence," Research Paper 9012, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- James R. Rhodes, 2006.
"DEVOLUTION OF THE FISHER EQUATION: Rational Appreciation to Money Illusion,"
GRIPS Discussion Papers
07-05, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, revised Sep 2007.
- James R. Rhodes, 2006. "DEVOLUTION OF THE FISHER EQUATION: Rational Appreciation to Money Illusion," GRIPS Discussion Papers 08-04, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies, revised Jun 2008.
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