Too Much Oil
Abstract
Fear for oil exhaustion and its consequences for economic growth has been a driver of a rich literature on exhaustible resources. But our view on oil has remarkably changed. We now also worry about too much oil because of climate change damages associated with oil and other fossil fuel use. In this climate change debate, economists have pointed to a green paradox: when policy makers stimulate the development of low carbon energy sources to (partly) replace fossil fuels in the future, oil markets may anticipate a future reduction in demand and increase current supply. The availability of 'green' technologies may increase damages. The insight comes from the basic exhaustible resource model. We reproduce the green paradox, and to facilitate discussion, differentiate between a weak and a strong version, related to short-term and long-term effects, respectively. Then we analyze the green paradox in two standard modifications of the exhaustible resource model. We find that increasing fossil fuel extraction costs counteracts the strong green paradox, while imperfect energy substitutes may make both the weak and strong green paradox vanish. (JEL codes: Q31 and Q54) Copyright The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com, Oxford University Press.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Article provided by CESifo in its journal CESifo Economic Studies.
Volume (Year): 57 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 79-102
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Related research
Keywords:Other versions of this item:
- Reyer Gerlagh, 2010. "Too Much Oil," Working Papers 2010.14, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply
- Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters
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References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Citations
Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- The green paradox
by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2010-03-30 14:18:00
Cited by:
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"Green Paradox and Directed Technical Change: The Effects of Subsidies to Clean R&D,"
TSE Working Papers
12-337, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
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"Does a renewable fuel standard for biofuels reduce climate costs?,"
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- Mads Greaker & Michael Hoel & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2012. "Does a Renewable Fuel Standard for Biofuels Reduce Climate Costs?," CESifo Working Paper Series 4030, CESifo Group Munich.
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Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis
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