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The Dynamics of Convenience and the Brazilian Soybean Boom

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  • Darren L. Frechette

Abstract

U.S. and Brazilian soybeans are harvested on an alternating semiannual cycle that generates predictable dynamic behavior in the soybean futures market. Because corn and soybeans are storage substitutes, their physical storage costs move together and can be isolated separately from crop-specific marginal convenience yields along the futures price profile. The Kaldor-Working convenience yield hypothesis is tested for the international soybean market and storage risk is measured. Copyright 1997, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Darren L. Frechette, 1997. "The Dynamics of Convenience and the Brazilian Soybean Boom," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(4), pages 1108-1118.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:79:y:1997:i:4:p:1108-1118
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    Cited by:

    1. Richter, Martin & Sørensen, Carsten, 2002. "Stochastic Volatility and Seasonality in Commodity Futures and Options: The Case of Soybeans," Working Papers 2002-4, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
    2. Calum G. Turvey, 2006. "Managing food industry business and financial risks with commodity-linked credit instruments," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(4), pages 523-545.
    3. Back, Janis & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Rudolf, Markus, 2013. "Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 273-290.
    4. Choudhry, Taufiq, 2009. "Short-run deviations and time-varying hedge ratios: Evidence from agricultural futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 58-65, March.
    5. Jin, Yufei & Turvey, Calum G., 2004. "A General Approach To Valuing Commodity-Linked Bonds," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20039, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Zulauf, Carl & Kim, Sanghyo, 2020. "U.S. Market Net Return and Risk to Storing Corn and Soybeans, 1974–2017," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2020.
    7. Zhang, Rui (Carolyn) & Houston, Jack E., 2005. "Effects of Price Volatility and Surging South American Soybean Production on Short-run Soybean Basis Dynamics," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19038, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

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