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The Dynamics of Convenience and the Brazilian Soybean Boom

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  • Darren L. Frechette
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    Abstract

    U.S. and Brazilian soybeans are harvested on an alternating semiannual cycle that generates predictable dynamic behavior in the soybean futures market. Because corn and soybeans are storage substitutes, their physical storage costs move together and can be isolated separately from crop-specific marginal convenience yields along the futures price profile. The Kaldor-Working convenience yield hypothesis is tested for the international soybean market and storage risk is measured. Copyright 1997, Oxford University Press.

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1244268
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Agricultural and Applied Economics Association in its journal American Journal of Agricultural Economics.

    Volume (Year): 79 (1997)
    Issue (Month): 4 ()
    Pages: 1108-1118

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    Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:79:y:1997:i:4:p:1108-1118

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    Cited by:
    1. Jin, Yufei & Turvey, Calum G., 2004. "A General Approach To Valuing Commodity-Linked Bonds," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20039, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Richter, Martin & Sørensen, Carsten, 2002. "Stochastic Volatility and Seasonality in Commodity Futures and Options: The Case of Soybeans," Working Papers 2002-4, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Finance.
    3. Zhang, Rui (Carolyn) & Houston, Jack E., 2005. "Effects of Price Volatility and Surging South American Soybean Production on Short-run Soybean Basis Dynamics," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19038, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Choudhry, Taufiq, 2009. "Short-run deviations and time-varying hedge ratios: Evidence from agricultural futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 58-65, March.
    5. Back, Janis & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Rudolf, Markus, 2013. "Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 273-290.
    6. Turvey, Calum G., 2005. "Managing Food Industry Business and Financial Risks with Commodity-Linked Credit Instruments," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24525, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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