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Performance-Enhancing Drugs and the Production of Season Best Performances in Track and Field

Author

Listed:
  • Allison Fisher

    (Illinois Wesleyan University)

  • Michael C. Seeborg

    (Illinois Wesleyan University)

Abstract

This paper explores trends in the production of post WWII track and field performances in six events. Of particular concern is how performances deviated from long-term trend from 1962 through 1990, a period when elite track and field athletes were known to systematically use steroids in an environment of ineffective testing. Log-linear trend regression for each event and their residuals are used to develop an indicator variable of whether the actual performances of elite athletes were better than trend. Probit models are then used to predict the probability of better than trend performance for three time periods. The results show very high probabilities of above trend performance during the heavy use period and much lower probabilities of above trend performance after 1990, a period when testing was more effective and international anti-doping efforts more coordinated.

Suggested Citation

  • Allison Fisher & Michael C. Seeborg, 2010. "Performance-Enhancing Drugs and the Production of Season Best Performances in Track and Field," Journal of Economic Insight, Missouri Valley Economic Association, vol. 36(2), pages 23-43.
    • Handle: RePEc:mve:journl:v:36:y:2010:i:2:p:23-43
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    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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