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Incertezza e partite correnti

Author

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  • Enrico Saltari
  • Davide Ticchi

Abstract

Questo lavoro analizza la relazione tra incertezza di origine tecnologica e saldo delle partite correnti. L'analisi viene svolta utilizzando un modello di equilibrio economico generale in cui l'impresa è una attività rischiosa il cui tasso di rendimento viene determinato sul mercato delle attività. Si tiene così conto non soltanto dell'effetto dell'incertezza sul risparmio ma, diversamente dalla letteratura tradizionale, anche sull'investimento. Sebbene l'effetto dell'incertezza sul saldo delle partite correnti sia complessivamente ambiguo, qualora l'effetto indiretto (positivo) sul risparmio generato dall'incremento del tasso di interesse rischioso sia superiore all'effetto diretto (negativo) si avrà un miglioramento di tale saldo.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrico Saltari & Davide Ticchi, 2000. "Incertezza e partite correnti," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 111-126.
  • Handle: RePEc:mul:jqat1f:doi:10.1427/3671:y:2000:i:1:p:111-126
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