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Coronavirus and Migration: Analysis of Human Mobility and the Spread of Covid-19

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  • Ibrahim Sirkeci

    (Regents University London, London, United Kingdom)

  • Mustafa Murat Yucesahin

    (Ankara University, Ankara, Turkey)

Abstract

Reactions, measures as well as discourses dealing with the current pandemic vary significantly across the world. While some countries were completely locked down, as was the case in Italy, some had claimed to have very few or no cases, as was the case in Turkey and Indonesia byMarch 10th, 2020. Nevertheless, the spread of COVID-19from China has been clearly linked to those travelling from Wuhan in Hubei province in Central China. Therefore, it is important to understand the travel density/volume of passengers carried as well asroutes from Wuhan through connected main regional air travel hubs across China.Inthis study, we developed a model on migration and travel intensity that can explain outbreak and spreadofCOVID-19 since it appearedat the end of 2019.We show that the presence of migrant stock populations of Chinese origin and the immigrant stock in China are useful indicatorsin the prediction of the spread of the outbreak worldwide in the event of interaction with several other macro factors. We argue that monitoring immigrant stock data and travel volume data based on human mobility corridors (i.e. origins and destinations), countries could have been better prepared and takenearly measures to contain the spread of COVID-19.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Sirkeci & Mustafa Murat Yucesahin, 2020. "Coronavirus and Migration: Analysis of Human Mobility and the Spread of Covid-19," Migration Letters, Migration Letters, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:mig:journl:v:17:y:2020:i:2:p:379-398
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.33182/ml.v17i2.935
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    Cited by:

    1. Lucian Liviu ALBU & Ciprian Ion PREDA & Radu LUPU, 2020. "Estimates on the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the economy," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting 200518, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    2. Nano Prawoto & Eko Priyo Purnomo & Abitassha Az Zahra, 2020. "The Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemic on Socio-Economic Mobility in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 57-71.
    3. Natalia Maslii & Maryna Demianchuk & Igor Britchenko & Maksym Bezpartochnyi, 2022. "Modeling Migration Changes According To Alternative Scenarios in the Context of the Global COVID-19 Pandemic: The Example of Ukraine," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 58-71.
    4. Jošić Hrvoje, 2020. "The socio-economic catalysers of COVID-19 pandemic," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 6(2), pages 12-26, December.
    5. Małgorzata Dudzińska & Marta Gwiaździńska-Goraj & Aleksandra Jezierska-Thöle, 2022. "Social Factors as Major Determinants of Rural Development Variation for Predicting Epidemic Vulnerability: A Lesson for the Future," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-24, October.
    6. Perrings, Charles & Espinoza, Baltazar, 2021. "Mobility Restrictions and the Control of COVID-19," Ecology, Economy and Society - the INSEE Journal, Indian Society of Ecological Economics (INSEE), vol. 4(01), January.
    7. Robert J. R. Elliott & Ingmar Schumacher & Cees Withagen, 2020. "Suggestions for a Covid-19 Post-Pandemic Research Agenda in Environmental Economics," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 1187-1213, August.
    8. Lucian Liviu ALBU & Ciprian Ion PREDA & Radu LUPU & Carmen Elena DOBROTĂ & George Marian CĂLIN & Claudia M. BOGHICEVICI, 2020. "Estimates of Dynamics of the Covid19 Pandemic and of its Impact on the Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 5-17, July.
    9. Cristi Raceanu, 2022. "Statistical Analysis Of The Influence Of Covid-19 On Population Migration," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 248-253, February.
    10. Francisco Javier Lacarcel & Raquel Huete, 2023. "Digital communication strategies used by private companies, entrepreneurs, and public entities to attract long-stay tourists: a review," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 691-708, June.
    11. Şeyda Nur Koca Peker, 2022. "Changing Migration Mobility and Migration Policies During the Covid-19 Process," Journal of Social Policy Conferences, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(83), pages 179-195, December.
    12. Simona Šinko & Klemen Prah & Tomaž Kramberger, 2021. "Spatial Modelling of Modal Shift Due to COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-15, June.
    13. Sorin Cheval & Cristian Mihai Adamescu & Teodoro Georgiadis & Mathew Herrnegger & Adrian Piticar & David R. Legates, 2020. "Observed and Potential Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Environment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-25, June.
    14. Margubur Rahaman & Avijit Roy & Pradip Chouhan & Kailash Chandra Das & Md Juel Rana, 2021. "Risk of COVID-19 Transmission and Livelihood Challenges of Stranded Migrant Labourers during Lockdown in India," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 64(3), pages 787-802, September.
    15. Grazyna Kowalewska & Lesław Markowski & Magdalena Wojarska & Nelson Duarte, 2021. "The Impact of Economic and Non-economic Factors on the Willingness to Migrate of Young People in the COVID-19 Pandemic Time," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 3), pages 291-302.
    16. Qianqian Sun & Weiyi Zhou & Aliakbar Kabiri & Aref Darzi & Songhua Hu & Hannah Younes & Lei Zhang, 2023. "COVID‐19 and income profile: How communities in the United States responded to mobility restrictions in the pandemic's early stages," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 541-558, April.
    17. Jumadi Jumadi & Vidya N. Fikriyah & Hamim Z. Hadibasyir & Muhammad I. T. Sunariya & Kuswaji D. Priyono & Noor A. Setiyadi & Steve J. Carver & Paul D. Norman & Nick S. Malleson & Arif Rohman & Aynaz Lo, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Accessibility of COVID-19 Healthcare Facilities in Jakarta, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-14, November.
    18. Albu, Lucian-Liviu, 2020. "How much will the Coronavirus pandemic expand?," MPRA Paper 99862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Yanting Zheng & Jinyuan Huang & Qiuyue Yin, 2021. "What Are the Reasons for the Different COVID-19 Situations in Different Cities of China? A Study from the Perspective of Population Migration," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-16, March.

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