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Testing Autoregressive Models Through the Example of Northern Hungary

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  • Gábor Potvorszki

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    (University of Miskolc)

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    Abstract

    The aim of this study is to model regional economic performance by the application of autoregressive models for given variables. The Cobb-Douglas (CD) production function gives the basis, which is extended by the gross value added produced by the labour force. My hypothesis is that if the current income level as dependent variable is determined by those current independent variables according to the CD function then it can be assumed that the time lags of both the dependent and independent variables also have an influence on the current value of the dependent variable. I test this hypothesis through the example of Northern Hungary in the period 1995-2008.

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    File URL: http://tmp.gtk.uni-miskolc.hu/volumes/2012/01/TMP_2012_01_10_Potvorszki_Gabor.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Faculty of Economics, University of Miskolc in its journal Theory Methodology Practice (TMP).

    Volume (Year): 8 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 01 ()
    Pages: 68-75

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    Handle: RePEc:mic:tmpjrn:v:8:y:2012:i:01:p:68-75

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    Related research

    Keywords: regional convergence; divergence; development; econometrics;

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    1. Sergio Rey & Brett Montouri, 1999. "US Regional Income Convergence: A Spatial Econometric Perspective," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 143-156.
    2. Robert J. Barro, 1995. "Inflation and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 5326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Dedák, István & Dombi, Ákos, 2009. "Konvergencia és növekedési ütem
      [Convergence and growth rate]
      ," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 19-45.
    4. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
    5. Johnson, Paul A., 2000. "A nonparametric analysis of income convergence across the US states," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 219-223, November.
    6. Shioji, Etsuro, 2001. " Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Convergence Approach," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 205-27, September.
    7. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June.
    8. Serge Coulombe & Frank C. Lee, 1995. "Convergence across Canadian Provinces, 1961 to 1991," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 28(4a), pages 886-98, November.
    9. Michele Boldrin & Fabio Canova, 2001. "Inequality and convergence in Europe's regions: reconsidering European regional policies," Economic Policy, CEPR & CES & MSH, vol. 16(32), pages 205-253, 04.
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