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The link between central bank independence and inflation in Central and Eastern Europe: are the results sensitive to endogeneity issue omitted dynamics and subjectivity bias?

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  • Goran Petrevski
  • Jane Bogoev
  • Bruno Sergi

Abstract

This paper provides an empirical analysis of the association between central bank independence (CBI) and inflation for 17 Central and Eastern European economies from 1990 to 2009. We employ a dynamic panel data model estimated with a "system" generalized method of moments, which incorporates several control variables as well as accounts for the subjectivity bias in the construction and interpretation of CBI indexes. The main finding of our empirical research is that, after introducing dynamics in the empirical model and controlling for the effects of other macroeconomic and institutional variables, the usual significant and negative relationship between CBI and inflation disappears.

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  • Goran Petrevski & Jane Bogoev & Bruno Sergi, 2012. "The link between central bank independence and inflation in Central and Eastern Europe: are the results sensitive to endogeneity issue omitted dynamics and subjectivity bias?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 611-652.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:34:y:2012:i:4:p:611-652
    DOI: 10.2753/PKE0160-3477340403
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    2. Athina Zervoyianni & Athanasios Anastasiou & Andreas Anastasiou, 2014. "Does central bank independence really matter? Re-assessing the role of the independence of monetary policy-makers in macroeconomic outcomes," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(4), pages 427-473.
    3. Itai Agur & Carola Binder & Cristina Bodea & Claudio Borio & Italo Colantone & Ana Carolina Garriga & Federico Favaretto & Stefan Gerlach & Ernest Gnan & Ryszard Kokoszczynski & Masaaki Higashijima & , 2020. "Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2020/1 edited by Ernest Gnan and Donato Masciandaro, May.
    4. Makreshanska, Suzana & Petrevski, Goran, 2015. "Fiscal Decentralization and Inflation in Central and Eastern Europe," MPRA Paper 77596, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Mar 2017.
    5. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.

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