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Inflation targeting in a simple macroeconomic model

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  • H. SONMEZ ATESOGLU
  • JOHN SMITHIN

Abstract

In this paper, we argue that an explicit inflation-targeting policy is not likely to be a desirable monetary policy rule, even if it were agreed that a lower inflation rate is an important goal of policy. Inflation targeting is not neutral in the short or the long run, and a strict policy will tend to reduce the equilibrium growth rate. In terms of income distribution, a lower inflation target will tend to reduce real wages and profits and increase real interest rates, that is, the return to rentiers. In certain circumstances, it may still be possible to achieve a combination of both higher growth and lower inflation using other types of policy. However, this would actually require lower real interest rates, rather than the higher rates that are traditionally associated with anti-inflation policy.

Suggested Citation

  • H. Sonmez Atesoglu & John Smithin, 2006. "Inflation targeting in a simple macroeconomic model," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 673-688.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:28:y:2006:i:4:p:673-688
    DOI: 10.2753/PKE0160-3477280408
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Eckhard Hein, 2017. "Post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid 1990s: main developments," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 131-172, September.
    2. Angel Asensio, 2009. "Between the cup and the lip," Working Papers halshs-00496911, HAL.
    3. Massimo Pivetti, 2019. "On Interest as a Monetary Phenomenon and the ‘Best’ Interest-rate Policy," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 13(2), pages 167-187, December.
    4. Eckhard Hein & Christian Schoder, 2011. "Interest rates, distribution and capital accumulation -- A post-Kaleckian perspective on the US and Germany," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 693-723, November.
    5. Vasiliki Bozani, 2011. "NAIRU, Unemployment and Post Keynesian Economics," Working Papers 1104, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    6. Eckhard Hein & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2010. "Macroeconomic Policy Mix, Employment and Inflation in a Post-Keynesian Alternative to the New Consensus Model," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 317-354.
    7. Mevlut Tatliyer, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the need for a new central banking framework," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 512-539, October.
    8. Angel Asensio, 2008. "(Post) Keynesian alternative to inflation targeting," Post-Print halshs-00335560, HAL.
    9. Tropeano, Domenica & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2008. "Exchange rate policy and income distribution in an open developing economy," MPRA Paper 6642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Angel Asensio, 2012. "Between the Cup and the Lip: On Post Keynesian Interest Rate Rules and Long-term Interest Rate Management," Chapters, in: Louis-Philippe Rochon & Salewa ‘Yinka Olawoye (ed.), Monetary Policy and Central Banking, chapter 1, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Chaido Dritsaki, 2016. "Real wages, inflation, and labor productivity: Evidences from Bulgaria and Romania," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 4(5), pages 24-36, October.
    12. Eric Kam & John Smithin & Aqeela Tabassum, 2018. "The Long-Run Non-Neutrality of Monetary Policy: A General Statement in a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers 074, Ryerson University, Department of Economics.

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