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The validity of the balance-of-payments-constrained growth model for a small economy in transition: the case of Slovenia

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  • JANI BEKÓ
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    Abstract

    The paper estimates the validity of the balance-of-payments-constrained growth model in the case of the Slovenian economy with a cointegration approach. Three main conclusions can be drawn from the analysis. First, the results identified a long-run relationship between real gross domestic product and variables of real exports. Second, as the results from the basic model suggest, to ease the pressure from the balance-of-payments constraints on output growth, shifts in elasticities of export and import flows are required. Third, owing to the reported modernization needs of the Slovenian economy, persistence of import patterns, and empirically documented strong dependence of exports on sufficient imports, manipulation of export demand seems to be more justified.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by M.E. Sharpe, Inc. in its journal Journal of Post Keynesian Economics.

    Volume (Year): 26 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 1 (October)
    Pages: 69-93

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    Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:26:y:2003:i:1:p:69-93

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    Web page: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=journal&id=109348

    Related research

    Keywords: balance of payments; economic growth; exports;

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    Cited by:
    1. Rasmus Kattai & John Lewis, 2005. "Hooverism, Hyperstabilisation or Halfway-House? Describing Fiscal Policy in Central and Eastern European EU Members," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2005-05, Bank of Estonia, revised 10 Oct 2005.
    2. Claus-Friedrich Laaser & Klaus Schrader, 2005. "Baltic Trade with Europe: Back to the Roots?," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 15-37, July.
    3. Morten Hansen, 2005. "The Irosh Growth Miracle: Can Latvia Replicate?," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 3-14, July.
    4. Virmantas Kvedaras, 2005. "Explanation of Economic Growth Differences in the CEE Countries: Importance of the BOP Constraint," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 48-65, July.

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