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Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium?

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Author Info
Kim, Chang-Jin
Morley, James C
Nelson, Charles R
Abstract

This paper investigates whether evidence for a positive relationship between stock market volatility and the equity premium is more decisive when the volatility feedback effects of large and persistent changes in market volatility are taken into account. The analysis has two components. First, a log-linear present value framework is employed to derive a formal model of volatility feedback under the assumption of Markov-switching market volatility. Second, the model is estimated for a variety of assumptions about information available to economic agents. The empirical results suggest the existence of a negative and significant volatility feedback effect, supporting a positive relationship between stock market volatility and the equity premium.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 36 (2004)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 339-60
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:339-60

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Laurent E. Calvet & Adlai J. Fisher, 2005. "Multifrequency News and Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 11441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Walentin, Karl, 2007. "Earnings Inequality and the Equity Premium," Working Paper Series 215, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2010-1-3.


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