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Exchange Rate Regimes and Shifts in Inflation Persistence: Does Nothing Else Matter?

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Author Info
Burdekin, Richard C K
Siklos, Pierre L

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Abstract

This paper reexamines the findings of George S. Alogoskoufis and Ron Smith (1991), who argue that sharp increases in inflation persistence can be attributed to changes in the exchange rate regime. Using long time series data from the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, and Sweden, the authors suggest that these authors' emphasis on a post-1967 shift in inflation persistence is misplaced and that there are other equally good candidates to account for changes in inflation persistence, such as wars, oil price shocks, and central bank reforms. This conclusion is supported by recently developed tests that allow for multiple structural shifts at unknown dates.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 31 (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 235-47
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:235-47

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Pesaran, M.H. & Pick, A., 2008. "Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0814, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Clemens Kool & Alex Lammertsma, 2005. "Inflation Persistence under Semi-Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes: The European Evidence 1974–1998," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 51-76, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Athanasios Papadopoulos & Moïse Sidiropoulos, . "Central Bank Independence, Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation Persistence Empirical Evidence on Selected EMU Countries," Working Papers 0107, University of Crete, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Pierre L. Siklos, 1999. "Inflation-target design: changing inflation performance and persistence in industrial countries," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 46-58. [Downloadable!]
  5. Eduard Hochreiter & Anton Korinek & Pierre L. Siklos, 2003. "The potential consequences of alternative exchange rate regimes: A study of three candidate regions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 327-349. [Downloadable!]
  6. Moïse Sidiropoulos & Jamel Trabelsi & Costas Karfakis, 2005. "Has the 'franc fort’ exchange rate policy affected the inflationary dynamics? Theory and new evidence," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 19(3), pages 379-395, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Koffie Ben Nassar, 2005. "Money Demand and Inflation in Madagascar," IMF Working Papers 05/236, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Manuela Francisco & Michael Bleaney, 2005. "Inflation Persistence and Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence from Developing Countries," NIPE Working Papers 1/2005, NIPE - Universidade do Minho. [Downloadable!]
  9. Nunziata, Luca & Bowdler, Christopher, 2005. "Inflation Adjustment and Labour Market Structures: Evidence from a Multi-Country Study," IZA Discussion Papers 1510, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Clemens J.M. Kool & Alex Lammertsma, 2003. "Inflation Persistence under Semi-Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes: The European Evidence 1974-1998," Working Papers 04-04, Utrecht School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Athanasios Papadopoulos & Giuseppe Diana & Moise Sidiropoulos, 2005. "Central Bank Reform and Inflation Dynamics in the Transition Economies theory and some evidence," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 58, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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