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Unit Roots and Infrequent Large Shocks: New International Evidence on Output Growth

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Author Info
Bradley, Michael D
Jansen, Dennis W

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Abstract

The authors examine output growth for the G-7 countries. They use Nathan S. Balke and Thomas Fomby's procedure to identify the date and type of trend breaks, and note that these occur in clusters. The authors estimate country-specific intervention models and test the unit root hypothesis. Their critical values explicitly take account of the prior outliner search procedure. For Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom, the unit root null hypothesis can be rejected. This suggests that the variance of output growth in these countries is generated by low-frequency, high-magnitude shocks rather than high-frequency, low-magnitude shocks. Copyright 1995 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 27 (1995)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 867-93
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:27:y:1995:i:3:p:867-93

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2009. "Large shocks in U.S. macroeconomic time series: 1860–1988," Working Papers hal-00422502_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  2. Olivier Darne & Laetitia Ripoll-Bresson, 2004. "Exchange rate regime classification and real performances: new empirical evidence," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 21, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  3. Olivier Darné & Jean-François Hoarau, 2006. "Testing the purchasing power parity in China," EconomiX Working Papers 2006-18, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX. [Downloadable!]
  4. Franco Bevilacqua & Adriaan van Zon, 2002. "Random Walks and Non-Linear Paths in Macroeconomic Time Series: Some Evidence and Implications," Working Papers geewp22, Vienna University of Economics and B.A. Research Group: Growth and Employment in Europe: Sustainability and Competitiveness. [Downloadable!]
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