Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Repercusiones del envejecimiento demográfico sobre el sistema público de pensiones en Castilla y León

Contents:

Author Info

  • GÓMEZ GARCÍA, J.Mª

    ()
    (Departamento de Economía Aplicada. Avda. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Universidad de Valladolid. Valle Esgueva, 6. 47011 – Valladolid - España. Telf: (983) 423898 - 185949.)

  • PELÁEZ FERMOSO, F.J.

    ()
    (Departamento de Economía Aplicada (Matemáticas). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Universidad de Valladolid.Valle Esgueva, 6. 47011 – Valladolid - España. Telf: (983) 423898 - 185949.)

  • y GARCÍA GONZÁLEZ, A.

    ()
    (Departamento de Economía Aplicada (Matemáticas). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Universidad de Valladolid.Valle Esgueva, 6. 47011 – Valladolid - España. Telf: (983) 423898 - 185949.)

Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    Los sistemas públicos de pensiones han experimentado en las últimas décadas profundas transformaciones de naturaleza económica, social y demográfica, destacando, entre estas últimas, el proceso de envejecimiento de la población. En este trabajo se analizan los efectos del envejecimiento demográfico sobre el sistema público de pensiones en el ámbito territorial de la Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León. Concretamente, se pretende determinar la intensidad de ese proceso de cambio demográfico en la región, efectuando un análisis prospectivo de la evolución de su población, con el fin de comprobar el efecto que dicho fenómeno demográfico tiene sobre la evolución del gasto público en pensiones de jubilación del sistema de la Seguridad Social. Los resultados de este análisis se han obtenido a partir de hipótesis razonables acerca de la evolución demográfica, económica y laboral de la región para el período 2000-2025. Public pension systems have undergone radical economic, social as well as demographic changes during the last decades. Amongst these demographic changes we should point out the process of population aging. This paper analyses the impact of demographic aging on the public pension system in the Autonomous Community of Castilla y León. More precisely, this paper attempts to determine the extent of future demographic aging in that region through a prospective analysis of the evolution of its population and, in order to determine the impact such demographic change has on the public retirement pension system, to estimate the evolution of public pension expenditure. The results of the analysis undertaken in this paper have been obtained based on reasonable hypotheses about the demographic, economic and labour evolution in the region for the period 2000-2025.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.revista-eea.net
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Estudios de Economía Aplicada in its journal Estudios de Economía Aplicada.

    Volume (Year): 23 (2005)
    Issue (Month): (Abril)
    Pages: 235-253

    as in new window
    Handle: RePEc:lrk:eeaart:23_1_12

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Beatriz Rodríguez Prado. Facultad de CC.EE. y EE. Avda. Valle del Esgueva. Valladolid 47011 SPAIN
    Phone: (34) 983 423320
    Fax: (34) 983 184568
    Web page: http://www.revista-eea.net
    More information through EDIRC

    Order Information:
    Email:
    Web: http://www.revista-eea.net

    Related research

    Keywords: Envejecimiento demográfico; Sistema de la Seguridad Social; Gasto público en pensiones/Demographic aging; Social Security system; Public pension expenditure.;

    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    References

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
    as in new window
    1. Angers, Jean-Francois & Biswas, Atanu, 2003. "A Bayesian analysis of zero-inflated generalized Poisson model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 37-46, February.
    2. Dionne, G., 1998. "La mesure empirique des problemes d'information," Papers, Paris X - Nanterre, U.F.R. de Sc. Ec. Gest. Maths Infor. 9833, Paris X - Nanterre, U.F.R. de Sc. Ec. Gest. Maths Infor..
    3. Artis, Manuel & Ayuso, Mercedes & Guillen, Montserrat, 1999. "Modelling different types of automobile insurance fraud behaviour in the Spanish market," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 67-81, March.
    4. Jaap H. Abbring & James J. Heckman & Pierre-André Chiappori & Jean Pinquet, 2003. "Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard In Insurance: Can Dynamic Data Help to Distinguish?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 1(2-3), pages 512-521, 04/05.
    5. Dahlby, B. G., 1983. "Adverse selection and statistical discrimination : An analysis of Canadian automobile insurance," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 121-130, February.
    6. Kelvin Yau & Karen Yip & H. K. Yuen, 2003. "Modelling repeated insurance claim frequency data using the generalized linear mixed model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(8), pages 857-865.
    7. Didier Richaudeau, 1999. "Automobile Insurance Contracts and Risk of Accident: An Empirical Test Using French Individual Data," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 97-114, June.
    8. Boyer, Marcel & Dionne, Georges, 1989. "An Empirical Analysis of Moral Hazard and Experience Rating," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(1), pages 128-34, February.
    9. Cameron, A Colin & Trivedi, Pravin K, 1986. "Econometric Models Based on Count Data: Comparisons and Applications of Some Estimators and Tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(1), pages 29-53, January.
    10. Chiappori, Pierre-Andre & Salanie, Bernard, 1997. "Empirical contract theory: The case of insurance data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 943-950, April.
    11. Puelz, Robert & Snow, Arthur, 1994. "Evidence on Adverse Selection: Equilibrium Signaling and Cross-Subsidization in the Insurance Market," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 102(2), pages 236-57, April.
    12. Vuong, Quang H, 1989. "Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 307-33, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lrk:eeaart:23_1_12. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Beatriz Rodríguez Prado).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.