IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lje/journl/v15y2010i1p103-125.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reaction of Stock Prices to Dividend Announcements and Market Efficiency in Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Akbar

    (Department of Management Sciences, Bahria University, Islamabad, Pakistan.)

  • Humayun Habib Baig

Abstract

This study tests the semi-strong form of market efficiency by investigating the reaction of stock prices to dividend announcements. It analyzes cash, stock, and simultaneous cash and stock dividend announcements of 79 companies listed on the Karachi Stock Exchange from July 2004 to June 2007. Abnormal returns from the market model are evaluated for statistical significance using the t-test and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The findings suggest negligible abnormal returns for cash dividend announcements. However, the average abnormal and cumulative average abnormal returns for stock and simultaneous cash and stock dividend announcements are mostly positive and statistically significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Akbar & Humayun Habib Baig, 2010. "Reaction of Stock Prices to Dividend Announcements and Market Efficiency in Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 15(1), pages 103-125, Jan-Jun.
  • Handle: RePEc:lje:journl:v:15:y:2010:i:1:p:103-125
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://121.52.153.179/JOURNAL/LJE%20Vol15-%20No.12010/5%20Akbar_&_Baig%20EDITED%20AC.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aharony, Joseph & Dotan, Amihud, 1994. "Regular Dividend Announcements and Future Unexpected Earnings: An Empirical Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 125-151, February.
    2. Miller, Merton H & Rock, Kevin, 1985. "Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(4), pages 1031-1051, September.
    3. John Lintner, 1964. "Optimal Dividends and Corporate Growth under Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 78(1), pages 49-95.
    4. Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G., 1988. "Earnings information conveyed by dividend initiations and omissions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 149-175, September.
    5. A.A. Lonie & G. Abeyratna, D.M. Power & C.D. Sinclair, 1996. "The stock market reaction to dividend announcements: A UK study of complex market signals," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 23(1), pages 32-52, January.
    6. repec:kap:iaecre:v:12:y:2006:i:3:p:318-326 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Rozeff, Michael S. & Kinney, William Jr., 1976. "Capital market seasonality: The case of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 379-402, October.
    8. Kofi A. Osei, 1998. "Analysis of factors affecting the development of an emerging capital market: The case of the Ghana stock market," Working Papers 76, African Economic Research Consortium, Research Department.
    9. Brickley, James A., 1983. "Shareholder wealth, information signaling and the specially designated dividend : An empirical study," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 187-209, August.
    10. Easterbrook, Frank H, 1984. "Two Agency-Cost Explanations of Dividends," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(4), pages 650-659, September.
    11. Acker, Daniella, 1999. "Stock Return Volatility and Dividend Announcements," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 221-242, May.
    12. Charest, Guy, 1978. "Dividend information, stock returns and market efficiency-II," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2-3), pages 297-330.
    13. Pettit, R Richardson, 1972. "Dividend Announcements, Security Performance, and Capital Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(5), pages 993-1007, December.
    14. Lee, Bong-Soo, 1995. "The Response of Stock Prices to Permanent and Temporary Shocks to Dividends," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 1-22, March.
    15. Benartzi, Shlomo & Michaely, Roni & Thaler, Richard H, 1997. "Do Changes in Dividends Signal the Future or the Past?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 1007-1034, July.
    16. Merton H. Miller & Franco Modigliani, 1961. "Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34, pages 411-411.
    17. Olatundun Adelegan, 2003. "Capital Market Efficiency and the Effects of Dividend Announcements on Share Prices in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 15(2‐3), pages 218-236.
    18. Shuhong Kong & Majid Taghavi, 2006. "The Effect of Annual Earnings Announcements on the Chinese Stock Markets," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 12(3), pages 318-326, August.
    19. Salman Syed Ali & Khalid Mustafa, 2001. "Testing Semi-strong Form Efficiency of Stock Market," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 651-674.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Syed Ali Raza, Mohd Zaini Abd Karim, 2016. "Do Liquidity and Financial Leverage Constrain the Impact of Firm Size and Dividend Payouts on Share Price in Emerging Economy," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 71-86, October.
    2. Dr. Jeetendra Dangol, 2016. "Nepalese Stock Market Efficiency in Respect of Cash and Stock Dividend Announcement," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 7(3), pages 60-71, September.
    3. Mohit Gupta & Navdeep Aggarwal, 2018. "Signaling Effect of Shifts in Dividend Policy: Evidence from Indian Capital Markets," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 142-153, July.
    4. Faris Alshubiri, 2021. "Portfolio Returns of Islamic Indices and Stock Prices in GCC Countries: Empirical Evidence From the ARDL Model," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    5. Budi Frensidy & Irene Josephine & Ignatius Roni Setyawan, 2019. "Price Formation around Dividend Announcement Date: Empirical Evidence in Indonesian Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 106-118.
    6. Darakhshan Younis & Attiya Yasmin Javid, 2014. "Market Imperfections and Dividend Policy Decisions of Manufacturing Sector of Pakistan," PIDE-Working Papers 2014:99, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    7. Berezinets, I.V. & Bulatova, L.A. & Ilina, Y. B. & Smirnov, M.V., 2016. "How stock market reacts to dividend surprises: Russian and Indian experience," Working Papers 6437, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    8. Berezinets, I.V. & Bulatova, L.A. & Ilina, Y.B. & Smirnov, M.V., 2015. "Stock market reaction to dividend surprises: Evidence from Russia," Working Papers 6427, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    9. ROBINSON, C. Justin & BANGWAYO-SKEETE, Prosper, F., 2018. "The Information Content Of Dividend Announcements: Evidence From Frontier Markets With Varying Tax Regimes In Jamaica And Trinidad And Tobago, 2001-2017," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(2), pages 73-86.
    10. Sadaf Anwar & Shveta Singh & P. K. Jain, 2017. "Impact of Cash Dividend Announcements: Evidence from the Indian Manufacturing Companies," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(1), pages 29-60, April.
    11. Khan, Kanwal Iqbal & Ghafoor, Muhammad Mudassar & Sheeraz, Muhammad & Mahmood, Shahid, 2018. "Pay or not to Pay Dividends: Company Policy and Investor Expectations," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 137-157.
    12. Berezinets, I. V. & Bulatova, L. A. & Ilina, Y. B., 2015. "Dividend announcements impact on stock returns: Evidence from the emerging market of India," Working Papers 6410, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    13. Ghulam Mujtaba Chaudhary & Shujahat Haider Hashmi & Aqeel Younis, 2016. "Does Dividend Announcement Generate Market Signal? Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 65-72.
    14. Kehinde Adesina & Uwalomwa Uwuigbe & Olubukola Ranti Uwuigbe & Osariemen Asiriuwa & Sylvester Oriabe, 2017. "Dividend Policy and Share Price Valuation in Nigerian Banks," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 1(36), pages 185-195, May.
    15. MOBEEN Ur Rehman & WAQAS Bin Khidmat, 2013. "Technical Analysis Of Efficient Market Hypothesis In A Frontier Market," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 8(2), pages 60-67, August.
    16. Rabindra Joshi, 2012. "Effects of Dividends on Stock Prices in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 24(2), pages 61-75, October.
    17. Rabindra Joshi, 2012. "Effects of Dividends on Stock Prices in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 24(2), pages 61-75, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chin-Sheng Huang & Chun-Fan You & Hsiao-Fen Hsiao, 2017. "Dividends and Subsequent Profitability: An Examination of a Dual Dividend Stock Market," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(01), pages 1-35, March.
    2. Frankfurter, George M. & Wood, Bob Jr., 2002. "Dividend policy theories and their empirical tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-138.
    3. Roni Michaely & Stefano Rossi & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "The Information Content of Dividends: Safer Profits, Not Higher Profits," CESifo Working Paper Series 6751, CESifo.
    4. Eva Liljeblom & Sabur Mollah & Patrik Rotter, 2015. "Do dividends signal future earnings in the Nordic stock markets?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 493-511, April.
    5. Blau, Benjamin M. & Fuller, Kathleen P., 2008. "Flexibility and dividends," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 133-152, April.
    6. Jensen, Gerald R. & Lundstrum, Leonard L. & Miller, Robert E., 2010. "What do dividend reductions signal?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 736-747, December.
    7. Wei Hao & Udomsak Wongchoti & Martin Young & Jianguo Chen, 2021. "R2 and the corporate signaling effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 1353-1381, December.
    8. Hanaan Yaseen & Ruxandra Trifan, 2019. "The Impact of Dividend Events on Stock Returns: Findings on Companies Listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 11(2), pages 59-78, December.
    9. Paul Tanyi & David B. Smith & Xiaoyan Cheng, 2021. "Does firm payout policy affect shareholders’ dissatisfaction with directors?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 279-320, July.
    10. H.Kent Baker & Gary E. Powell & E.Theodore Veit, 2002. "Revisiting the dividend puzzle," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), pages 241-261.
    11. Mohit Gupta & Navdeep Aggarwal, 2018. "Signaling Effect of Shifts in Dividend Policy: Evidence from Indian Capital Markets," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 142-153, July.
    12. Paul McGuinness & Kevin Lam & João Vieito, 2015. "Gender and other major board characteristics in China: Explaining corporate dividend policy and governance," Asia Pacific Journal of Management, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 989-1038, December.
    13. Dempsey, Stephen J. & Sheng, Hainan, 2023. "Dividend change announcements, ROE, and the cost of equity capital," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    14. Jin, Zhenhu, 2000. "On the differential market reaction to dividend initiations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 263-277.
    15. Ben Howatt & Richard Zuber & John Gandar & Reinhold Lamb, 2009. "Dividends, earnings volatility and information," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 551-562.
    16. Jais, Mohamad & Abdul Karim, Bakri & Funaoka, Kenta & Abidin, Azlan Zainol, 2009. "Dividend Announcements and Stock Market Reaction," MPRA Paper 19779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Naheed Rabbani, 2017. "The Announcement Effect of Cash Dividend Changes on Share Prices: Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-19, December.
    18. Fairchild, Richard & Guney, Yilmaz & Thanatawee, Yordying, 2014. "Corporate dividend policy in Thailand: Theory and evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 129-151.
    19. Sadaf Anwar & Shveta Singh & P. K. Jain, 2017. "Impact of Cash Dividend Announcements: Evidence from the Indian Manufacturing Companies," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(1), pages 29-60, April.
    20. Cheng Few Lee & Manak C. Gupta & Hong-Yi Chen & Alice C. Lee, 2020. "Optimal Payout Ratio Under Uncertainty and the Flexibility Hypothesis: Theory and Empirical Evidence," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & John C Lee (ed.), HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING, chapter 96, pages 3367-3412, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock prices; market efficiency; dividend announcements; Pakistan.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lje:journl:v:15:y:2010:i:1:p:103-125. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shahid Salahuddin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lsecopk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.