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Comparing the performance of models for wider economic benefits of transport infrastructure: results of a Dutch case study

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Author Info

  • Bert Hof

    ()

  • Arjan Heyma

    ()

  • Toon Hoorn

    ()

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    Abstract

    A case is set up concerning a fictitious Dutch high-speed railway project involving passenger transport. Direct welfare effects are calculated using a standard transport model. On the basis of the case description and the direct effects, five models calculate total welfare effects and wider (indirect) economic benefits. The results of these models are compared. In very broad terms, differences in results can be explained, but on a more detailed level, differences remain that are hard to explain. We also find that large differences in results are caused by differences in the way direct welfare effects are calculated, instead of by differences in wider economic benefits. This suggests that it pays a lot more to focus on understanding and improving direct effect calculations than to try and perfectly quantify wider economic benefits. Copyright The Author(s) 2012

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11116-011-9383-4
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Springer in its journal Transportation.

    Volume (Year): 39 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 6 (November)
    Pages: 1241-1258

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:39:y:2012:i:6:p:1241-1258

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    Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=103007

    Related research

    Keywords: Cost benefit analysis; Wider economic benefits; Indirect economic effects; Model performance comparison;

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    1. Dixit, Avinash K & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1975. "Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 64, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    2. Wei Fan & Frederick Treyz & George Treyz, 2000. "An Evolutionary New Economic Geography Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 671-695.
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