The predictive role of counterfactuals
AbstractWe suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also allows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2013
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Springer in its journal Theory and Decision.
Volume (Year): 74 (2013)
Issue (Month): 2 (February)
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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100341
Induction; Counterfactuals; Prediction;
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