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Equilibrium in Multicandidate Probabilistic Spatial Voting

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Author Info
Lin, Tse-Min
Enelow, James M
Dorussen, Han
Abstract

This paper presents a multicandidate spatial model of probabilistic voting in which voter utility functions contain a random element specific to each candidate. The model assumes no abstentions, sincere voting, and the maximization of expected vote by each candidate. The authors derive a sufficient condition for concavity of the candidate expected vote function with which the existence of equilibrium is related to the degree of voter uncertainty. They show that, under concavity, convergent equilibrium exists at a 'minimum-sum point' at which total distances from all voter ideal points are minimized. The authors then discuss the location of convergent equilibrium for various measures of distance. In their examples, computer analysis indicates that nonconvergent equilibria are only locally stable and disappear as voter uncertainty increases. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Public Choice.

Volume (Year): 98 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1-2 (January)
Pages: 59-82
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:98:y:1999:i:1-2:p:59-82

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  1. Aidt, T.S. & Dutta, J., 2008. "Electoral Uncertainty and Public Goods," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0843, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
  2. Zakharov Alexei, 2005. "Candidate location and endogenous valence," EERC Working Paper Series 05-17e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS. [Downloadable!]
  3. Fernandez, Jose & Cataiefe, Guido, 2009. "Model of the 2000 Presidential Election: Instrumenting for Ideology," MPRA Paper 16264, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Norman Schofield, 2006. "Equilibria in the spatial stochastic model of voting with party activists," Review of Economic Design, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 183-203, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Evrenk, Haldun, 2008. "Three-Candidate Competition when Candidates Have Valence: The Base Case," Working Papers 2008-2, Suffolk University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  6. John R. Freeman & Jude C. Hays & Helmut Stix, 1999. "Democracy and Markets: The Case of Exchange Rates," Working Papers 39, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
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