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The Downsian Voter Meets the Ecological Fallacy Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Matsusaka, John G
Palda, Filip
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This paper presents evidence that voter participation does not depend on the probability that one vote is decisive. An extensive summary of the empirical participation literature is provided which shows that most but not all studies have found that turnout in an electoral district is higher when the race is closer. Individual-level vote regressions for the 1979 and 1980 Canadian national elections are estimated using objective measures of closeness (as opposed to self-reported measures). The main finding is that a citizen is no more likely to vote in a close election than in a landslide election. District-level turnout regressions for the same elections are also estimated, and a significant relation between closeness and turnout is observed. This suggests that aggregation bias may generate a spurious closeness-turnout relation in district-level regressions. Copyright 1993 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
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Article provided by Springer in its journal Public Choice .
Volume (Year): 77 (1993)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 855-78
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Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:77:y:1993:i:4:p:855-78Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100332
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Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)Serguei Kaniovski & Dennis C. Mueller, .
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