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Overshooting adjustment to tariff liberalization

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  • Christian Keuschnigg

Abstract

The article analyzes the dynamic effects of tariff liberalization on a small open economy. The primary focus is on nonmonotonic adjustment patterns of net lending such as overshooting or opposite short-and long run effects. When capital accumulation tilts wage income toward the future in the early transition periods, present generations perceive life-cycle type savings disincentives which create a transitory shortfall in savings. In the long run, wage profiles become flat again, and the savings deficiency vanishes. The transitory savings component may give rise to overshooting or opposite short- and long-run adjustment in the total stock of savings and net foreign assets. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1996

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

Volume (Year): 7 (1996)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 237-255

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Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:7:y:1996:i:3:p:237-255

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100323

Related research

Keywords: transitory savings; current account; net foreign assets; overshooting; F13; F32; F41;

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References

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  1. Lans Bovenberg, A., 1993. "Investment-promoting policies in open economies : The importance of intergenerational and international distributional effects," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 3-54, May.
  2. Gavin, Michael, 1991. "Tariffs and the current account : On the macroeconomics of commercial policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 27-52.
  3. Persson, Torsten & Svensson, Lars E O, 1985. "Current Account Dynamics and the Terms of Trade: Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Two Generations Later," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(1), pages 43-65, February.
  4. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
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  8. Matsuyama, Kiminori, 1988. "Terms-of-Trade, Factor Intensities and the Current Account in a Life-Cycle Model," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 247-62, April.
  9. Serven, Luis, 1994. "Capital goods imports, the real exchange rate, and the current account," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1298, The World Bank.
  10. Philip L. Brock & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1992. "The Growth and Welfare Consequences of Differential Tariffs With Endogenously-Supplied Capital and Labor," NBER Working Papers 4011, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Hayashi, Fumio, 1982. "Tobin's Marginal q and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 213-24, January.
  12. Partha Sen & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1988. "Deterioration of the Terms of Trade and Capital Accumulation: A Reexamination of the Laursen-Metzler Effect," NBER Working Papers 2616, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Gavin, Michael, 1991. "Income effects of adjustment to a terms of trade disturbance and the demand for adjustment finance," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1-2), pages 127-153, November.
  14. Buiter, Willem H, 1988. "Death, Birth, Productivity Growth and Debt Neutrality," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(391), pages 279-93, June.
  15. Engel, Charles & Kletzer, Kenneth, 1990. "Tariffs and saving in a model with new generations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 71-91, February.
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Cited by:
  1. Philipp Harms, 2002. "Deregulation and the Current Account," Working Papers 02.07, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.

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