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Narrow Target Zones within Broad Zones: A Non-Speculative Exchange Rate Solution with Limited Resources

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Author Info
Staffan Ringbom ()
Abstract

A smooth exchange rate target zone solution that internalizes the time inconsistency problem and is completely free from speculation incentives exists where the monetary resources available for an exchange rate defense are limited and the target zone collapses with probability one. In the unique closed form solution, a soft internal narrow target zone slides during a sterilized defense when the reserves change. For a smooth regime collapse the exchange rate is non-smoothpasted to the free-float. A target zone defended at its official borders is inherently speculative and results in a randomized regime collapse for the monetary intervention. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/A:1023991305350
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

Volume (Year): 14 (2003)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 319-341
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Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:14:y:2003:i:3:p:319-341

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Related research
Keywords: target zone; exchange rate; credibility; bounded reserves; regime switching;

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  1. Lewis, Karen K, 1995. "Occasional Interventions to Target Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(4), pages 691-715, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Dumas, B. & Svensson, L.E.O., 1994. "How Long Do Unilateral Target Zones Last?," DELTA Working Papers 94-06, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure).
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  3. Labhard, Vincent & Wyplosz, Charles, 1996. "The New EMS: Narrow Bands inside Deep Bands," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(2), pages 143-46, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Krugman, Paul R, 1991. "Target Zones and Exchange Rate Dynamics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 106(3), pages 669-82, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Ozkan, F. Gulcin & Sutherland, Alan, 1998. "A currency crisis model with an optimising policymaker," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 339-364, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Kenneth A. Froot & Maurice Obstfeld, 1991. "Stochastic Process Switching: Some Simple Solutions," NBER Working Papers 2998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Robert J. Barro & David B. Gordon, 1984. "Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 1079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Bertola, Giuseppe & Caballero, Ricardo J, 1992. "Target Zones and Realignments," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(3), pages 520-36, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. William P. Killeen & Richard K. Lyons & Michael J. Moore, 2001. "Fixed versus Flexible: Lessons from EMS Order Flow," NBER Working Papers 8491, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Froot, Kenneth A. & Obstfeld, Maurice, 1991. "Exchange-rate dynamics under stochastic regime shifts : A unified approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3-4), pages 203-229, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Daniel, Betty C., 2000. "The timing of exchange rate collapse," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 765-784, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Kraay, Aart, 2000. "Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2267, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Robert Flood & Nancy Marion, 1998. "Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature," NBER Working Papers 6380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Jeanne, Olivier, 1999. "Currency Crises: A Perspective on Recent Theoretical Developments," CEPR Discussion Papers 2170, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Pakko, Michael R., 2000. "Do high interest rates stem capital outflows?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 187-192, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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