Nonadditive expected utility models were developed for explaining preferences in settings where probabilities cannot be assigned to events. In the absence of probabilities, difficulties arise in the interpretation of likelihoods of events. In this paper we introduce a notion of revealed likelihood that is defined entirely in terms of preferences and that does not require the existence of (subjective) probabilities. Our proposal is that decision weights rather than capacities are more suitable measures of revealed likelihood in rank-dependent expected utility models and prospect theory. Applications of our proposal to the updating of beliefs and to the description of attitudes towards ambiguity are presented. Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
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Volume (Year): 16 (1998) Issue (Month): 3 (July-Aug.) Pages: 223-50 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
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Jürgen Eichberger & David Kelsey & Burkhard C. Schipper, 2005.
"Ambiguity and Social Interaction,"
Discussion Papers
59, SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
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Eichberger, Jurgen & Kelsey, Davis & Schipper, Burkhard, 2007.
"Ambiguity and Social Interaction,"
Working Papers
05-36, University of California at Davis, Department of Economics.
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Jürgen Eichberger & David Kelsey & Burkhard C. Schipper, 2007.
"Ambiguity and Social Interaction,"
Working Papers
0443, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, revised May 2007.
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