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Smoothing in Appraisal-Based Returns

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Author Info
Geltner, David Michael
Abstract

This article presents a conceptual analysis of smoothing in the second moments of appraisal-based returns series in commercial real estate. The intent of the article is to lay the groundwork necessary for the more scientific use of appraisal-based returns time series for the purpose of inferring the true second moments. Formal smoothing models are presented together with their theoretical implications for smoothing in various second moments of interest to investment analysts. Empirical estimators for inferring true moments from appraisal-based data are described. Limited empirical findings from previous literature are also briefly discussed in the light of the theoretical findings of this study. The overall conclusion is that appraisal-based returns can be very useful in studying the risk characteristics of commercial real estate assets, provided that this type of data is corrected for smoothing as discussed in the article. Copyright 1991 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 4 (1991)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 327-45
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:4:y:1991:i:3:p:327-45

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  1. Conlin Lizieri & Steven Satchell & Elaine Worzala & Roberto Dacco', 1998. "Real Interest Regimes and Real Estate Performance: A Comparison of UK and US Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(3), pages 339-356. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alan Gardner & George Matysiak, 2006. "Systematic Property Risk: Quantifying UK Property Betas 1983-2005," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2006-13, School of Business, Reading University. [Downloadable!]
  3. A.B. Berkelaar & R. Kouwenberg, 1999. "Investing in a real world with mean-reverting inflation," Econometric Institute Report 182, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Jack H. Rubens & David A. Louton & Elizabeth J. Yobaccio, 1998. "Measuring the Significance of Diversification Gains," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(1), pages 73-86. [Downloadable!]
  5. Raimond Maurer & Steffen Sebastian & Thomas G. Stephan, 2002. "Immobilienindizes im Portfolio-Management," Working Paper Series: Finance and Accounting 52, Department of Finance, Goethe University Frankfurt am Main. [Downloadable!]
  6. Elizabeth Yobaccio & Jack H. Rubens & David C. Ketcham, 1995. "The Inflation-Hedging Properties of Risk Assets: The Case of REITs," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(3), pages 279-296. [Downloadable!]
  7. F.C. Neil Myer & James R. Webb, 1993. "The Effect of Benchmark Choice on Risk-Adjusted Performance Measures for Commingled Real Estate Funds," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(2), pages 189-204. [Downloadable!]
  8. David C. Ling, 1993. "Probabilistic Valuation Models and Income Tax Asymmetries with an Application to the Analysis of Passive Loss Restrictions," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(2), pages 205-220. [Downloadable!]
  9. Gerald R. Brown & Seow-Eng Ong, 2001. "Estimating serial cross-correlation in real estate returns," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(7), pages 381-387. [Downloadable!]
  10. Peijie Wang, Colin Lizieri, George Matysiak, 1997. "Information asymmetry, long-run relationship and price discovery in property investment markets," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 261-275, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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