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Analysis of Consumers’ Perceptions of Buying Conditions for Houses

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  • Pami Dua

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Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of consumers' buying attitudes for houses. Data on buying attitudes are from responses to the Surveys of Consumer Attitudes conducted by the Survey Research Center, University of Michigan. The determinants considered include current and expected interest rates, current and expected real disposable income and house prices. The empirical estimates show that a long-run relationship exists between buying attitudes for houses and each of the above variables. Each of these determinants also Granger cause buying perceptions. Generalized impulse responses show that shocks to each of the above variables have a predictable and permanent impact on buying attitudes. Furthermore, generalized variance decompositions suggest that both current and expected interest rates explain a large proportion of the variation in consumers’ perceptions towards buying houses. Since consumers' attitudes towards buying houses are likely to be translated into actual purchases, this study shows that in order of importance, interest rates - both current and future - have the maximum impact on decisions to purchase houses followed by expectations of real disposable income.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics.

Volume (Year): 37 (2008)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 335-350

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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:37:y:2008:i:4:p:335-350

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=102945

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Keywords: Consumers’ buying attitudes; Survey data; Cointegration; Generalized impulse responses and variance decompositions;

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Cited by:
  1. Orhan Erdem & Ali Coskun, 2012. "A Survey-Based Analysis of Housing Market," Working Paper 02, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul.
  2. Huang, MeiChi, 2014. "Bubble-like housing boom–bust cycles: Evidence from the predictive power of households’ expectations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 2-16.

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