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Fundamental Determinants of Real Estate Prices: A Panel Study of German Regions

Author

Listed:
  • Ansgar Belke

    (University of Duisburg-Essen
    Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)
    Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA))

  • Jonas Keil

    (German Development Institute (DIE))

Abstract

This paper aims at establishing empirical facts on the fundamental determinants of real estate prices. It contributes to the literature by analysing a unique panel dataset covering a wide range of real estate market data and other economic variables for nearly 100 German cities. Several robust fundamental determinants are identified, among them the supply-side factors of construction activity and housing stock as well as the demand-side factors of apartment rents, market size, age structure, local infrastructure and rental prices. Results suggest that these factors are robustly linked to fundamental real estate prices and thus can be used to detect misalignments of market prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Ansgar Belke & Jonas Keil, 2018. "Fundamental Determinants of Real Estate Prices: A Panel Study of German Regions," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 25-45, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iaecre:v:24:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11294-018-9671-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11294-018-9671-2
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    4. Corinna Ghirelli & Danilo Leiva-León & Alberto Urtasun, 2023. "Housing prices in Spain: convergence or decoupling?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 165-187, June.
    5. Reichle, Philipp & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Reck, Fabian, 2023. "The sharing economy and housing markets in selected European cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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    8. Hanli Chen & Yu Zhang & Ningxin Zhang & Man Zhou & Heping Ding, 2022. "Analysis on the Spatial Effect of Infrastructure Development on the Real Estate Price in the Yangtze River Delta," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.
    9. Tripathi, Sabyasachi, 2019. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Housing Prices: A Cross Country Level Analysis," MPRA Paper 98089, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. David Mazáček & Jiří Panoš, 2022. "Key determinants of new residential real estate prices in Prague," FFA Working Papers 5.002, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    11. Jason R. Bailey & Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Stefan Mittnik & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2022. "Hedonic Models of Real Estate Prices: GAM and Environmental Factors," Papers 2210.14266, arXiv.org.
    12. Nektarios A. Michail & George Thucydides, 2019. "The impact of foreign demand on Cyprus house prices," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 13(2), pages 48-71, December.
    13. Andreas Hendricks & Peter Lacoere & Erwin van der Krabben & Cynthia Oorschot, 2021. "Limits of Negotiable Developer Obligations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-20, October.
    14. Engerstam, Sviatlana, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of apartment prices in Swedish and German cities," Working Paper Series 20/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    15. Christian Reiner & Robert Musil, 2023. "The regional variation of a housing boom. Disparities of land prices in Austria, 2000–2018 [Die regionale Differenzierung eines Immobilien-Booms. Disparitäten der Baulandpreise in Österreich, 2000–," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 43(1), pages 125-146, April.
    16. Alona Shmygel, 2022. "House Price Bubble Detection in Ukraine," IHEID Working Papers 22-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real estate market; Fundamental prices; Regional data; Panel study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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