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Model Selection Using Information Criteria and Genetic Algorithms

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Author Info
Kelvin Balcombe ()

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Abstract

Automated model searches using information criteria are used for the estimation of linear single equation models. Genetic algorithms are described and used for this purpose. These algorithms are shown to be a practical method for model selection when the number of sub-models are very large. Several examples are presented including tests for bivariate Granger causality and seasonal unit roots. Automated selection of an autoregressive distributed lag model for the consumption function in the US is also undertaken. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2005

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10614-005-2209-8
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Computational Economics.

Volume (Year): 25 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 207-228
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:25:y:2005:i:3:p:207-228

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100248

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Christopher F. Baum).

Related research
Keywords: algorithms; autoregressive; distributed lags; genetic; information criteria; model selection;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Werner Ploberger & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2003. "Empirical Limits for Time Series Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 627-673, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Fernandez, Carmen & Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2001. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 381-427, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. de Crombrugghe, Denis & Palm, Franz C & Urbain, Jean-Pierre, 1997. "Statistical Demand Functions for Food in the USA and the Netherlands," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(5), pages 615-37, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!]
  5. Magnus, Jan R & Morgan, Mary S, 1997. "Design of the Experiment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(5), pages 459-65, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!]
  6. Smith, Michael & Kohn, Robert, 1996. "Nonparametric regression using Bayesian variable selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 317-343, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Werner Ploberger & Peter C.B. Phillips, 1998. "Rissanen's Theorem and Econometric Time Series," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1197, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  8. Kelvin Balcombe & Alastair Bailey & Iain Fraser, 2005. "Measuring the impact of R&D on Productivity from a Econometric Time Series Perspective," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 49-72, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Phillips, Peter C. B., 1995. "Bayesian model selection and prediction with empirical applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 289-331, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Chao, John C. & Phillips, Peter C. B., 1999. "Model selection in partially nonstationary vector autoregressive processes with reduced rank structure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 227-271, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Magnus, Jan R & Morgan, Mary S, 1997. "The Data: A Brief Description," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(5), pages 651-61, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!]
  12. Joseph Beaulieu, J. & Miron, Jeffrey A., 1993. "Seasonal unit roots in aggregate U.S. data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 305-328. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Massimiliano Kaucic, 2009. "Predicting EU Energy Industry Excess Returns on EU Market Index via a Constrained Genetic Algorithm," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 173-193, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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