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A Transfer Function Analysis of Real Estate Capitalization Rates

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    Abstract

    A national multifamily and nonresidential real estate capitalization rate shows sensitivity to the analogous earnings/price ratio aggregated from the stock market. Both time series seen to have the same ARIMA characteristics. However, a transfer function analysis indicates that the sensitivity comes with a one quarter lag. Thus, even sophisticated real estate investors seem slow to adjust to changes in business cycle and monetary conditions that cause quicker changes in the stock market.

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    File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol05n03/v05p371.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

    Volume (Year): 5 (1990)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 371-380

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    Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:5:n:3:1990:p:371-380

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    Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web page: http://www.aresnet.org/

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    Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/about/get.htm

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    1. George W. Gau & Ko Wang, 1990. "A Further Examination of Appraisal Data and the Potential Bias in Real Estate Return Indexes," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 40-48.
    2. Darrat, Ali F & Glascock, John L, 1989. "Real Estate Returns, Money and Fiscal Deficits: Is the Real Estate Market Efficient?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 197-208, September.
    3. S. Michael Giliberto, 1988. "A Note on the use of Appraisal Data in Indexes of Performance Measurement," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 77-83.
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    Cited by:
    1. John McDonald & Sofia Dermisi, 2009. "Office Building Capitalization Rates: The Case of Downtown Chicago," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 472-485, November.
    2. Brent W. Ambrose & Hugh O. Nourse, 1993. "Factors Influencing Capitalization Rates," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(2), pages 221-238.
    3. Patric H. Hendershott & Bryan D. MacGregor, 2005. "Investor Rationality: Evidence from U.K. Property Capitalization Rates," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 33(2), pages 299-322, 06.
    4. Zahra Saderion & Barton Smith & Charles A. Smith, 1994. "An Integrated Approach to the Evaluation of Commercial Real Estate," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(2), pages 151-168.
    5. Doina Chichernea & Norm Miller & Jeff Fisher & Bob White & Michael Sklarz, 2008. "ACross-Sectional Analysis of CapRates by MSA," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 30(3), pages 249-292.
    6. G. Donald Jud & Daniel T. Winkler, 1995. "The Capitalization Rate of Commercial Properties and Market Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(5), pages 509-518.

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