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Duration and Risk

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Author Info
Gerald R. Brown () (National University of Singapore Singapore, 119260)
Abstract

Duration has long been used as a means of managing the risk of bond portfolios. It has also been extended to the analysis of equities. Although it is often been compared with the half-life of an asset it is more correct to consider duration as the approximate percentage change in price for each one-percent change in yield. Given this view it will be seen that the volatility of an asset and its duration are closely related. This paper uses the duration of a conventional valuation model to estimate both the volatility and total risk of the each sector of the UK commercial property market relative to the property market as a whole. The approach has potential value in estimating the risk of a new property where historic time series information is either limited on not available. In addition, by drawing a distinction between ex-post and ex-ante measures of risk the paper also estimates the inflation flow through rate for different lease structures.

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File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol20n03/04.337_356.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 20 (2000)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 337-356
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Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:20:n:3:2000:p:337-356

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Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Boquist, John A & Racette, George A & Schlarbaum, Gary G, 1975. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(5), pages 1360-65, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Tim Bollerslev & Jeffrey Wooldridge, 1992. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 143-172. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Livingston, Miles, 1978. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 293-95, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Lanstein, Ronald & Sharpe, William F., 1978. "Duration and Security Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(04), pages 653-668, November. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alexius, Annika, 2004. "Far Out on the Yield Curve," Working Paper Series 2004:12, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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