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Duration and Risk

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    Abstract

    Duration has long been used as a means of managing the risk of bond portfolios. It has also been extended to the analysis of equities. Although it is often been compared with the half-life of an asset it is more correct to consider duration as the approximate percentage change in price for each one-percent change in yield. Given this view it will be seen that the volatility of an asset and its duration are closely related. This paper uses the duration of a conventional valuation model to estimate both the volatility and total risk of the each sector of the UK commercial property market relative to the property market as a whole. The approach has potential value in estimating the risk of a new property where historic time series information is either limited on not available. In addition, by drawing a distinction between ex-post and ex-ante measures of risk the paper also estimates the inflation flow through rate for different lease structures.

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    File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol20n03/04.337_356.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

    Volume (Year): 20 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 337-356

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    Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:20:n:3:2000:p:337-356

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    Postal: American Real Estate Society Clemson University School of Business & Behavioral Science Department of Finance 401 Sirrine Hall Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web page: http://www.aresnet.org/

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    Postal: Diane Quarles American Real Estate Society Manager of Member Services Clemson University Box 341323 Clemson, SC 29634-1323
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    Web: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/about/get.htm

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    1. Lanstein, Ronald & Sharpe, William F., 1978. "Duration and Security Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(04), pages 653-668, November.
    2. Boquist, John A & Racette, George A & Schlarbaum, Gary G, 1975. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(5), pages 1360-65, December.
    3. Livingston, Miles, 1978. "Duration and Risk Assessment for Bonds and Common Stocks: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 293-95, March.
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    Cited by:
    1. Alexius, Annika, 2004. "Far Out on the Yield Curve," Working Paper Series 2004:12, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

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