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Risk Assessment Steeplechase: Hurdles to Becoming a Target Market

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Author Info
Janet K. Tandy (Real Estate Infosources Cupertino, CA 95014)
Leon Shilton () (Fordham University, New York New York, NY 10023)
Abstract

Framed in a quadrant model, the data sources that analysts use to predict the performance of core property types for the major metropolitan areas in the United States are reviewed. The hypothesis is that forecasters rely on information from the economic base, the property inventory and financial performance quadrants to generate forecasts. For each core property type, analysts are rather homogeneous in grouping metropolitan areas from best to worst. However, the property type determines what sets of economic, social, inventory and market information are used. The only consistent forecast factor used across all property types appears to be economic growth.

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File URL: http://aux.zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol17n02/v17p127.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Real Estate Society in its journal Journal of Real Estate Research.

Volume (Year): 17 (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 127-150
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:17:n:2:1999:p:127-150

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L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, . "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns? (Revision of 18-91) (Reprint 030)," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 11-92, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
  2. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, 1992. "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(3), pages 457-485. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," NBER Working Papers 3120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Barro, R.J. & Sala-I-Martin, X., 1991. "Convergence," Papers 645, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
    Other versions:
  5. William N. Goetzmann & Susan M. Wachter, 1998. "Clustering Methods for Real Estate Portfolios," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm59, Yale School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.

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