IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jre/issued/v11n31996p309-323.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Explaining the Vacancy Rate - Rent Paradox of the 1980s

Author

Abstract

Theory and most empirical evidence point to a negative relationship between vacancy rates for rental housing and changes in real rent. This paper highlights and explains the absence of the expected relationship in the national data on vacancies and rents, especially during the 1980s, when rents soared despite high and rising vacancy rates. We argue that this unexpected pattern resulted from several factors: an increase in the natural vacancy rate, changes in the rent-setting behavior of landlords, changes in housing search of tenants, measurement of nominal and real rent in the CPI, and distortions of the vacancy rate because of high levels of new construction. Some of these influences are quantifiable, but others are not. About 30% of the unexpected gain in rents in the 1980s can be explained by those factors that are quantifiable. Implications are drawn for the relationship of rents to vacancy rates during the 1990s.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Belsky & John L. Goodman, Jr., 1996. "Explaining the Vacancy Rate - Rent Paradox of the 1980s," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(3), pages 309-323.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:11:n:3:1996:p:309-323
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pages.jh.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol11n03/v11p291.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brent W. Ambrose & Hugh O. Nourse, 1993. "Factors Influencing Capitalization Rates," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(2), pages 221-238.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. I-Chun Tsai, 2021. "Price Rigidity and Vacancy Rates: The Framing Effect on Rental Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 547-564, November.
    2. Chang-I Hua, 2017. "A Structural Model of a Housing Market with Friction," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(4), pages 397-416.
    3. Gabriel, Stuart A. & Nothaft, Frank E., 2001. "Rental Housing Markets, the Incidence and Duration of Vacancy, and the Natural Vacancy Rate," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 121-149, January.
    4. Deng, Yongheng & Gabriel, Stuart A & Nothaft, Frank E, 2003. "Duration of Residence in the Rental Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 26(2-3), pages 267-285, March-May.
    5. Capone, Charles Jr. & Goldberg, Lawrence, 2001. "Renter Mobility and Multifamily Mortgage Default Risk," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 21-40, March.
    6. Raymond Y. C. Tse & Bryan D. MacGregor, 1999. "Housing Vacancy and Rental Adjustment: Evidence from Hong Kong," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(10), pages 1769-1782, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alain Chaney & Martin Hoesli, 2015. "Transaction-Based and Appraisal-Based Capitalization Rate Determinants," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 18(1), pages 1-43.
    2. Daisy J. Huang & Charles Ka Yui Leung & Chung-Yi Tse, 2018. "What Accounts for the Differences in Rent-Price Ratio and Turnover Rate? A Search-and-Matching Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 431-475, October.
    3. Jesse M. Abraham, 1996. "On the Use of a Cash Flow Time-Series to Measure Property Performance," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(3), pages 291-308.
    4. Jun Li & Xiaoli Liang, 2020. "Beyond the Cap Rate: Valuation of Multifamily Properties," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 99-110, February.
    5. David Ling & Gianluca Marcato & Pat McAllister, 2009. "Dynamics of Asset Prices and Transaction Activity in Illiquid Markets: the Case of Private Commercial Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 359-383, October.
    6. Mariya Letdin, 2017. "Under the Lender’s Looking Glass," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 435-456, November.
    7. G. Donald Jud & Daniel T. Winkler, 1995. "The Capitalization Rate of Commercial Properties and Market Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(5), pages 509-518.
    8. Stanley D. Smith & Larry R. Woodward & Craig T. Schulman, 2000. "The Effect of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and Overbuilt Markets on Commercial Office Property Values," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(3), pages 301-320.
    9. Devaney, Steven & Livingstone, Nicola & McAllister, Pat & Nanda, Anupam, 2019. "Capitalization rates and transaction activity in international office markets: A global perspective," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    10. Stephen Malpezzi, "undated". "Hedonic Pricing Models: A Selective and Applied Review," Wisconsin-Madison CULER working papers 02-05, University of Wisconsin Center for Urban Land Economic Research.
    11. Kim, k. & Suh, s. & Feridun, M., 2006. "Real State Business Cycle and Real Estate Policies: The Case of Korea," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
    12. Fabrizio Battisti & Orazio Campo, 2019. "A Methodology for Determining the Profitability Index of Real Estate Initiatives Involving Public–Private Partnerships. A Case Study: The Integrated Intervention Programs in Rome," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-22, March.
    13. Martin Lux & Petr Sunega, 2010. "Udržitelnost vývoje cen bytů v České republice [The Sustainability of House Price Trends in the Czech Republic]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(2), pages 225-252.
    14. Doina Chichernea & Norm Miller & Jeff Fisher & Bob White & Michael Sklarz, 2008. "ACross-Sectional Analysis of CapRates by MSA," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 30(3), pages 249-292.
    15. Stanley D. Smith & Larry R. Woodward, 1996. "The Effect of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and Regional Economies on Apartment Values," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(3), pages 259-276.
    16. John McDonald & Sofia Dermisi, 2009. "Office Building Capitalization Rates: The Case of Downtown Chicago," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 472-485, November.
    17. Patric H. Hendershott & Bryan D. MacGregor, 2003. "Investor Rationality: Evidence from UK Property Capitalization Rates," NBER Working Papers 9894, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Terry V. Grissom & James R. DeLisle, 1999. "The Analysis of Real Estate Cycles, Regime Segmentation and Structural Change Using Multiple Indices (or A Multiple Index Analysis of Real Estate Cycles and Structural Change)," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(1), pages 97-130.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:11:n:3:1996:p:309-323. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: JRER Graduate Assistant/Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.aresnet.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.