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Foresight in a research institution: a critical review of two exercises

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe Petithuguenin

    (CIRAD-CP, Montpellier, France)

  • Marie de Lattre-Gasquet

    (CIRAD, Paris, France)

  • Jérôme Sainte-Beuve

    (CIRAD-CP, Montpellier, France)

Abstract

Foresight is a powerful tool for imagining possible futures, for raising public awareness, for helping decision-making and addressing questions related to the relationship between science and society. In this article we make a critical analysis of two foresight exercises organized by a research institution. A precise description of the exercises conducted on the futures of the cocoa commodity chain and the hevea commodity chain helps to understand the possible processes of a foresight exercise, what foresight can achieve and what kinds of difficulties can occur. From these experiences, proposals are made to facilitate the development of strategic intelligence in a research institution and improve the linkages between foresight, evaluation and programme formulation. The role of foresight in transforming knowledge and in pushing a closed system into a political arena is also shown. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Petithuguenin & Marie de Lattre-Gasquet & Jérôme Sainte-Beuve, 2003. "Foresight in a research institution: a critical review of two exercises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 203-217.
    • Handle: RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:2-3:p:203-217
    DOI: 10.1002/for.852
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rutten, H., 1997. "Coping With Turbulence; Strategies For Agricultural Research Institutes," NRLO Reports 12016, National Council for Agricultural Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Markmann & Alexander Spickermann & Heiko A. von der Gracht & Alexander Brem, 2021. "Improving the question formulation in Delphi‐like surveys: Analysis of the effects of abstract language and amount of information on response behavior," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), March.

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