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Balancing The Budget Through Revenue Or Spending Adjustments? The Case Of Greece

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  • Panagiotis T. Konstantinou

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    (Faculty of Economics, University of Rome III)

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    Abstract

    This paper examines the solvency of the Greek fiscal policy. Employing a cointegrated VAR as a benchmark, evidence of a long-run link between revenues and spending is presented, although intertemporal solvency is violated. Utilizing Granger-causality tests, a test for fiscal adjustment neutrality and Generalized Impulse Responses, this paper provides evidence in favor of the ¡®tax and spend¡¯ hypothesis for Greece. Additionally, the empirical evidence indicates that fiscal adjustment should take place through spending rather than revenue adjustment.

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    File URL: http://www.jed.or.kr/full-text/29-2/Panagiotis.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics in its journal Journal Of Economic Development.

    Volume (Year): 29 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 2 (December)
    Pages: 81-105

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    Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:29:y:2004:i:2:p:81-105

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    Web page: http://www.jed.or.kr/
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    Related research

    Keywords: Budget Balance; Government Revenue and Spending; Causality; Generalized Impulse Responses; Greece;

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    1. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    2. Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994. "Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233.
    3. Hondroyiannis, George & Papapetrou, Evangelia, 1996. " An Examination of the Causal Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: A Cointegration Analysis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 89(3-4), pages 363-74, December.
    4. Proietti, Tommaso, 1997. "Short-Run Dynamics in Cointegrated Systems," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(3), pages 405-22, August.
    5. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    6. Garcia, Sophie & Henin, Pierre-Yves, 1999. "Balancing budget through tax increases or expenditure cuts: is it neutral?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 591-612, December.
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