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Explaining exchange rate movements: an application of the market microstructure approach on the Pakistani foreign exchange market

Author

Listed:
  • Abdul Jalil1
  • Mete Feridun

    (Wuhan University, China
    Eastern Mediterranean University, Turkey)

Abstract

This present article aims at explaining the exchange rate movements in the Pakistani foreign exchange market using the market micro structure approach, which has not been applied to date due to the unavailability of high-frequency data on the order flow for Pakistan. The novelty of the present article is that it uses publicly unavailable micro data obtained from the State Bank of Pakistan and that it employs ARCH/GARCH regression methods in addition to the OLS technique suggested by the existing literature. Strong evidence emerged suggesting that order flow is a key variable that explains the movements in exchange rate over a short term in the case of Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdul Jalil1 & Mete Feridun, 2010. "Explaining exchange rate movements: an application of the market microstructure approach on the Pakistani foreign exchange market," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 44(1), pages 255-265, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.44:year:2011:issue1:pp:255-265
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    Cited by:

    1. Mariam Abbas Soharwardi & Mumtaz Ahmad & Muhammad Nouman Shafique, 2020. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Deficit in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 215-219.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    market microstructure; Order flow; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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