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International Evidence on Persistence in Output in the Presence of an Episodic Change

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Author Info
Raj, Baldev
Abstract

This paper uses some newly developed methods and techniques to examine the dynamic properties of international output in the presence of a structural break. The author provides statistical evidence to show that the unit root test results can, in some cases, be sensitive to whether a one-time structural break in the data is modeled exogenously or endogenously. However, in most cases the unit root test results remain robust to specification of the structural break exogenously or endogenously; moreover, he finds that the null hypothesis of a unit root in output can be rejected in favor of a "flexible" trend alternative for a number of countries such as Canada, Denmark, France, and the United States. Copyright 1992 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 7 (1992)
Issue (Month): 3 (July-Sept.)
Pages: 281-93
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:7:y:1992:i:3:p:281-93

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  1. Dan Ben-David & David H. Papell, 1994. "The Great Wars, The Great Crash, and the Unit Root Hypothesis: Some New Evidence About an Old Stylized Fact," NBER Working Papers 4752, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Kelvin Siu Kei Wong & Patrick Wai Yin Cheung, 2007. "On the Stability of the Implicit Prices of Housing Attributes: A Dynamic Theory and Some Evidence," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 10(2), pages 66-93. [Downloadable!]
  3. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 130, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Kul B. Luintel, 2000. "Real exchange rate behaviour: evidence from black markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(2), pages 161-185. [Downloadable!]
  5. Shyh-Wei Chen, 2008. "Are 19 Developed Countries' Real Per Capita GDP levels Non-stationary? A Revisit," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(2), pages 1-11. [Downloadable!]
  6. Antonio E. Noriega & Daniel Ventosa-Santaularia, . "Spurious regression under broken trend stationarity," School of Economics Working Papers EM200501, Universidad de Guanajuato. [Downloadable!]
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  7. R. Velazquez & A.E. Noriega & L.M. Soria, 2004. "International Evidence on Monetary Neutrality Under Broken Trend Stationary Models," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 57, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Surajit Deb, 2003. "Terms of Trade and Supply Response of Indian Agriculture: Analysis in Cointegration Framework," Working papers 115, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Dan Ben-David & Robin L. Lumsdaine & David H. Papell, 1998. "Unit Roots, Postwar Slowdowns and Long-Run Growth: Evidence from Two Structural Breaks," NBER Working Papers 6397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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