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A dynamic model of contraceptive choice of Spanish couples

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Author Info
Pedro Mira (CEMFI, Madrid, Spain)
Jesús M. Carro (Universidad Carlos III, Madrid, Spain)

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Abstract

We propose a simple dynamic stochastic model of sterilization and contraceptive use and we estimate its structural parameters using a sample of married couples from the 1995 Spanish Family and Fertility Survey. The estimated structural model improves on previous studies in terms of its ability to rationalize observed behaviour. Allowing for simple forms of permanent unobserved heterogeneity across couples in their ability to conceive has important implications for estimates of utility and cost parameters. Estimates of child valuation parameters imply that most Spanish couples would have two children, but significant deviations from this goal are brought about by imperfect and costly fertility control. We perform simulations to quantify the impact on fertility of the availability of sterilization and other technologies which improve fertility control. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1002/jae.879
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File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca:80/jae/2006-v21.7/
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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 21 (2006)
Issue (Month): 7 ()
Pages: 955-980
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:21:y:2006:i:7:p:955-980

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Ahn, Namkee, 1995. "Measuring the Value of Children by Sex and Age Using a Dynamic Programming Model," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 62(3), pages 361-79, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
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  1. Martin Browning & Jesus M. Carro, 2009. "Dynamic binary outcome models with maximal heterogeneity," Economics Series Working Papers 426, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Martin Browning & Jesus Carro, 2006. "Heterogeneity and Microeconometrics Modelling," CAM Working Papers 2006-03, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Centre for Applied Microeconometrics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-21.

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