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Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Massimiliano Marcellino (Istituto di Economia Politica, and IGIER, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy)
Grayham E. Mizon (Economics Department, Southampton University, UK)
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The relationships between real wages, output per capita, inflation and unemployment in Italy between 1970 and 1994 are modelled using a cointegrated vector autoregression. There is evidence of a change in the underlying equilibria and in the dynamic evolution of the variables, probably associated with the substantial changes in many sectors of the Italian economy after 1979. Alternative ways to model structural change in the Italian labour market are considered. In adopting a split-sample approach the results favour an hysteresis interpretation of unemployment. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics .
Volume (Year): 16 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 359-370
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:16:y:2001:i:3:p:359-370Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0883-7252/
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Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Paper Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, .
"Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 ,"
Working Papers
188, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, M. & Mizon, G.E., 2001.
"Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 ,"
Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics
0106, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
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Eilev S. Jansen, 2004.
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"On the Small Sample Properties of Weak Exogeneity Tests in Cointegrated VAR models ,"
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