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Bayesian semiparametric estimation of discrete duration models: an application of the dirichlet process prior

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Author Info
Michele Campolieti (Division of Management, University of Toronto at Scarborough and Center for Industrial Relations, University of Toronto)
Abstract

This paper proposes a Bayesian estimator for a discrete time duration model which incorporates a non-parametric specification of the unobserved heterogeneity distribution, through the use of a Dirichlet process prior. This estimator offers distinct advantages over the Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood estimator of this model. First, it allows for exact finite sample inference. Second, it is easily estimated and mixed with flexible specifications of the baseline hazard. An application of the model to employment duration data from the Canadian province of New Brunswick is provided. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca:80/jae/2001-v16.1/
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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 16 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1-22
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:16:y:2001:i:1:p:1-22

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Christofides, Louis N & McKenna, C J, 1996. "Unemployment Insurance and Job Duration in Canada," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(2), pages 286-312, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ruggiero, Michele, 1994. "Bayesian semiparametric estimation of proportional hazards models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 277-300, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Geweke, John F. & Keane, Michael P. & Runkle, David E., 1997. "Statistical inference in the multinomial multiperiod probit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 125-165, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. John Geweke, 1991. "Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to the calculation of posterior moments," Staff Report 148, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  5. Narendranathan, W & Stewart, Mark B, 1993. "How Does the Benefit Effect Vary as Unemployment Spells Lengthen?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 361-81, Oct.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. McCulloch, Robert & Rossi, Peter E., 1994. "An exact likelihood analysis of the multinomial probit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1-2), pages 207-240. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Baker, Michael & Melino, Angelo, 2000. "Duration dependence and nonparametric heterogeneity: A Monte Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 357-393, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Gary Chamberlain & Guido W. Imbens, 1995. "Semiparametric Applications of Bayesian Influence," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1716, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
  9. Gunderson, Morley & Melino, Angelo, 1990. "The Effects of Public Policy on Strike Duration," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 8(3), pages 295-316, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Michael Baker & Samuel A. Rea, 1998. "Employment Spells And Unemployment Insurance Eligibility Requirements," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(1), pages 80-94, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1988. "Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 646-79, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Isachenkova, N. & Weeks, M., 2008. "Acquisition, Insolvency and Managers in UK Small Companies," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0838, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
  2. Mingliang Li, 2006. "High school completion and future youth unemployment: new evidence from High School and Beyond," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 23-53. [Downloadable!]
  3. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee, 2007. "Bayesian Analysis of Hazard Regression Models under Order Restrictions on Covariate Effects and Ageing," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics 0707, Department of Economics, University of St. Andrews. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Paserman, M. Daniele, 2004. "Bayesian Inference for Duration Data with Unobserved and Unknown Heterogeneity: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application," IZA Discussion Papers 996, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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