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Permanent and Transitory Shocks, and the UK Business Cycle

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Author Info
Ravn, Morten O

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Abstract

In this paper the business cycle properties of UK data are investigated using a VAR technique. A Real Business Cycle (RBC) model is formulated. The model includes both permanent and transitory shocks to technology. The business cycle properties of the data and the model are investigated by deriving the expected changes over various forecast horizons from a VAR model. It is found, contrary to evidence in Rotemberg and Woodford (1996), that the model can account for many features of the data and that temporary shocks are pertinent in order to explain the business cycle moments. The main difference between theory and data is present in hours worked.

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File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca:80/jae/1997-v12.1/
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Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 12 (1997)
Issue (Month): 1 (Jan.-Feb.)
Pages: 27-48
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:12:y:1997:i:1:p:27-48

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  1. Warwick J McKibbin & Peter J Wilcoxen, 1997. "Macroeconomic Volatility In General Equilibrium," Departmental Working Papers 1998-07, Australian National University, Economics RSPAS, revised Jun 1998. [Downloadable!]
  2. Erik Britton & Jens D J Larsen & Ian Small, . "Imperfect competition and the dynamics of mark-ups," Bank of England working papers 110, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Riccardo DiCecio & Edward Nelson, 2007. "An estimated DSGE model for the United Kingdom," Working Papers 2007-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Hasan Bakhshi & Jens Larsen, . "Investment-specific technological progress in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 129, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  5. Morten O. Ravn & Saverio Simonelli, 2007. "Labor Market Dynamics and the Business Cycle: Structural Evidence for the United States," Economics Working Papers ECO2007/13, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Kamilya Tazhibayeva & Anna Ter-Martirosyan & Aasim M. Husain, 2008. "Fiscal Policy and Economic Cycles in Oil-Exporting Countries," IMF Working Papers 08/253, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. Jens Larsen & Katharine Neiss & Fergal Shortall, . "Factor utilisation and productivity estimates for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 162, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
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