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Konjunkturausblick 1999: Delle im konjunkturellen Aufschwung Deutschlands. Wachstum in Ostdeutschland wieder etwas kräftiger

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Author Info

  • Brigitte Loose
  • Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch
  • Udo Ludwig
  • Ingrid Haschke
  • Ruth Grunert
  • Kristina vanDeuverden
  • Michael Seifert
  • Silke Tober
  • Christian Schumacher

Abstract

Mit dem Jahresausblick für 1999 wird die ausführliche Konjunkturprognose von Mitte 1998 für das Jahr 1999 aktualisiert. Zu Beginn der dritten Phase der Europäischen Währungsunion sind die konjunkturellen Rahmenbedingungen überwiegend positiv. Das niedrige Zinsniveau wirkt anregend, die zu erwartenden, im Rahmen des Verteilungsspielraums bleibenden Lohnabschlüsse tragen zum ruhigen Preisklima bei, die Finanzpolitik wirkt nicht mehr restriktiv. Bei zunehmenden binnenwirtschaftlichen Impulsen verstärkt sich die Führungsrolle der Inlandsnachfrage unter den Auftriebskräften 1999. Bei fortgesetztem Produktionsanstieg verbessert sich die Lage am Arbeitsmarkt 1999 weiter, am ersten Arbeitsmarkt allerdings nur in Westdeutschland.

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File URL: http://www.iwh-halle.de/d/publik/wiwa/1-99-2.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Halle Institute for Economic Research in its journal Wirtschaft im Wandel.

Volume (Year): 5 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 3-14

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Handle: RePEc:iwh:iwhwiw:1-99-2

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