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The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy during a Zero Interest Rate Period Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Nagayasu, Jun (International Monetary Fund and Institute of Policy and Planning Sciences, U Tsukuba)
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This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a low interest rate environment using high -frequency Japanese data. Allowing for the time-varying term premium, we obtain evidence that when interest rates are low and the short end of the term structure is studied, there is no evidence to support the term- structure relationship. This poor performance is attributed to little information in the interest rate spread that can be used to predict future economic activity and/or to the absence of the persistent term premium. In contrast, some evidence for the term-structure relationship is found when the long end of the term-structure data is considered during a relatively high interest rate period.
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Article provided by Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan in its journal Monetary and Economic Studies .
Volume (Year): 22 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 19-43
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Handle: RePEc:ime:imemes:v:22:y:2004:i:2:p:19-43Contact details of provider: Postal: 2-1-1 Nihonbashi, Hongoku-cho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103 Phone: +81-3-3279-111 Fax: +81-3-3510-1265 Email: Web page: http://www.imes.boj.or.jp/ More information through EDIRC
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Find related papers by JEL classification: E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
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Ben S. Bernanke & Vincent R. Reinhart & Brian P. Sack, 2004.
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2004-48, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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