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The effect of implicit contracts on the movement of wages over the business cycle: Evidence from the national longitudinal surveys

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Author Info
Darren Grant

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Abstract

A 1991 study by Paul Beaudry and John DiNardo found evidence of internal labor markets that simultaneously augment incumbent workers' wages when the external labor market is tight (when unemployment is low) and shield their wages when it is slack. Current wages, they found, depend on the tightest labor market conditions observed since a worker was hired, not current labor market tightness or labor market tightness at the time of hiring. This paper replicates and extends that research using data from six cohorts of the National Longitudinal Surveys that together span more than three decades, as well as an estimation framework more robust than that in the original study. The author finds strong support for Beaudry and DiNardo's key prediction. Supplementary regressions confirm other implications of the theory, as well. Recently, at least, the effect of implicit contracting on wages has been similar for men and women. (Author's abstract.) (Free full-text download available at http://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/ilrreview/.)

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Article provided by ILR Review, ILR School, Cornell University in its journal ILR Review.

Volume (Year): 56 (2003)
Issue (Month): 3 (April)
Pages: 393-408
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Handle: RePEc:ilr:articl:v:56:y:2003:i:3:p:393-408

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  1. Silke Anger, 2007. "The cyclicality of effective wages within employer-employee matches - evidence from German panel data," Working Paper Series 783, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Martins, Pedro S. & Snell, Andy & Thomas, Jonathan P., 2009. "Real and Nominal Wage Rigidity in a Model of Equal-Treatment Contracting," IZA Discussion Papers 4346, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. repec:ese:iserwp: is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Jonathan P Thomas & Tim Worrall, 2007. "Limited Commitment Models of the Labour Market," Keele Economics Research Papers KERP 2007/11, Centre for Economic Research, Keele University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Devereux, Paul J. & Hart, Robert A., 2005. "The Spot Market Matters: Evidence on Implicit Contracts from Britain," IZA Discussion Papers 1497, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Fei Peng & W. Stanley Siebert, 2006. "Real Wage Cyclicality in Italy," IZA Discussion Papers 2465, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Fei Peng & W. Stanley Siebert, 2008. "Real Wage Cyclicality in Italy," LABOUR, CEIS, Fondazione Giacomo Brodolini and Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 22(4), pages 569-591, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Gábor Kátay, 2008. "Do Firms ProvideWage Insurance Against Shocks? – Evidence from Hungary," MNB Working Papers 2008/8, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary). [Downloadable!]
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  8. Andy Snell & Jonathan Thomas, 2006. " Labor Contracts, Equal Treatment and Wage-Unemployment Dynamics," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0603, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Christopher A. Pissarides, 2007. "The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle: Is Wage Stickiness the Answer?," CEP Discussion Papers dp0839, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE. [Downloadable!]
  10. Leena Rudanko, 2008. "Labor Market Dynamics under Long Term Wage Contracting," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-003, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Paul J. Devereux & Robert A. Hart, 2005. "Real Wage Cyclicality of Job Stayers, Within-Company Job Movers, and Between-Company Job Movers," IZA Discussion Papers 1651, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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