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Testing for Causality-in-Variance: An Application to the East Asian Markets

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Author Info
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Pittis, Nikitas
Spagnolo, Nicola

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Abstract

In this paper we provide some empirical evidence on the casual relationship between stock prices and exchange rates volatility in four East Asian countries. In order to test for causality-in-variance, we use a GARCH model for which a BEKK representation is adopted, and then test for the relevant zero restrictions on the conditional variance parameters. We find that in the pre-crisis sample stock prices lead exchange rates negatively in Japan and South Korea (consistently with the portfolio approach) and positively in Indonesia and Thailand. In the latter two countries after the onset of the 1997 East Asian crisis the spillover effects are found to be bidirectional. Copyright @ 2002 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (2002)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 235-45
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Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:7:y:2002:i:3:p:235-45

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  1. Jonathan B. Hill, 2004. "Efficient Tests of Long-Run Causation in Trivariate VAR Processes with a Rolling Window Study of the Money-Income Relationship," Macroeconomics 0407013, EconWPA, revised 17 May 2005. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Lucía de las Nieves Morales, 2008. "Volatility Spillovers between Equity and Currency Markets: Evidence from Major Latin American Countries," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 45(132), pages 185-215. [Downloadable!]
  3. Chien-Liang Chiu & Yen-Hsien Lee, 2007. "The Impact of the QFIIs Deregulation on Normal and Abnormal Information Transmission Between the Stock and Exchange rates in Taiwan," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(22), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
  4. Valadkhani, Abbas & Chancharat, Surachai & Harvie, Charles, 2006. "The Interplay Between the Thai and Several Other International Stock Markets," Economics Working Papers wp06-18, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
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