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Exchange Rate and Price Adjustments in the Aftermath of the Asian Crisis

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Fujii, Eiji

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Abstract

This study investigates the behavioural dynamics of the real exchange rates of five East Asian economies--Indonesia, Korea, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand--in the aftermath of the 1997 currency crisis. The results of cointegration analyses suggest that, despite the turbulent exchange rate movements during the crisis, the long-run purchasing power parity has remained to dictate the exchange rate and price relationship for all but Indonesia. The effects on the short-run dynamics are not unanimous, and there are indications of structural changes for selected countries, namely Korea and Thailand. Further, using impulse responses, we find that the speed of real exchange rate mean reversion is barely affected by the crisis, except for the Korean won. Overall, the empirical results suggest that the effects of the Asian crisis can generally be regarded as a temporary deviation rather than a fundamental shift in the real exchange rate behaviour. Copyright @ 2002 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 1-14
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Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:7:y:2002:i:1:p:1-14

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  1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie Chinn & Eiji Fujii, 2003. "China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration," Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series 1012, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Application of the IS-MP-IA model to the Singapore economy and policy implications," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 15(6), pages 1-9. [Downloadable!]
  3. Angelos Kanas, 2009. "Real exchange rates and developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 280-299. [Downloadable!]
  4. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Chan, Tze-Haw & Aggarwal, Raj, 2006. "The Changing Dynamics of the East Asian Real Exchange Rates after the Financial Crisis: Further Evidence on Mean Reversion," MPRA Paper 6090, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Nov 2007. [Downloadable!]
  5. Yu Hsing, 2006. "Analysis of Short-term Exchange Rate Movements in Korea: Application of an Extended Mundell--Fleming Model," Global Economic Review, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 145-151, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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